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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-28 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.16 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3,886.6 (+0.7%) | 0.9 | <0.1% | 14m | 22.6d ago · 44× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 8 → 1 |
| at post · 3,860.25 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 3,857.93 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 0.3% | 2h | 15.0d ago · 55× | 80% ±39 | 69% ±29 | 8% ±17 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 72% ±18 | 80% ±39 | 80% | 80% | 1h | 3.60% | 0.94% | 23 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 3,775.94 (-2.2%) | 2.7 | 1.5% | 11h | 4.5d ago · 65× | 23% ±41 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 14% ±13 | 25% ±38 | 40% ±68 | 40% | > 7d | — | — | 27 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 3,582.79–3,765.07 (-2.5%) | 3.1 | 1.9% | 15h | 1.5d ago · 85× | 33% ±53 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 10% ±13 | 32% ±53 | 45% | 45% | > 7d | — | — | 19 → 1 |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 3,720.6–3,728.92 (-3.4%) | 4.2 | 2.6% | 22h | 4.2d ago · 106× | 15% ±26 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 2% ±5 | 14% ±26 | 18% ±53 | 18% | > 7d | — | — | 44 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 3,608.03 (-6.5%) | 8.1 | 2.0% | 11h | 4.1d ago · 85× | 3% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±8 | 2% ±13 | 2% ±21 | > 7d | — | — | 84 → 2 |
| LVN zone | 3,491.64–3,506.83 (-9.2%) | 11 | 0.3% | 1h | 2.5d ago · 47× | 1% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 7% ±24 | 12% ±44 | > 7d | — | — | 70 → 2 |
| 14D VAL | 3,418.35 (-11.4%) | 14 | 0.9% | 4h | 4.1d ago · 59× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±10 | > 7d | — | — | 129 → 3 |
| 30D POC | 2,967.56 (-23.1%) | 29 | 2.8% | 23h | 4.2d ago · 72× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | — | — | 93 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 2,762.49 (-28.4%) | 35 | 0.8% | 5h | 2.5d ago · 31× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | — | — | 96 → 2 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.