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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-28 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.16 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3,907.88 (+0.2%) | 0.2 | <0.1% | 16m | 22.6d ago · 44× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 4 → 1 |
| at post · 3,901.21 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 3,878.57 (-0.6%) | 0.7 | 0.3% | 2h | 15.0d ago · 55× | 77% ±34 | 69% ±29 | 8% ±17 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 58% ±17 | 78% ±33 | 81% ±55 | 81% | 2h | 3.60% | 0.94% | 34 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 3,782.99 (-3.0%) | 3.6 | 1.3% | 9h | 4.5d ago · 65× | 13% ±27 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 5% ±7 | 13% ±27 | 37% ±67 | 37% | > 7d | — | — | 37 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 3,584.41–3,769.25 (-3.4%) | 4.0 | 1.8% | 14h | 1.5d ago · 85× | 33% ±65 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 6% ±12 | 33% ±53 | 46% | 46% | > 7d | — | — | 15 → 1 |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 3,720.54–3,727.16 (-4.5%) | 5.3 | 2.8% | 22h | 4.2d ago · 106× | 7% ±19 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 2% ±4 | 7% ±18 | 11% ±35 | 11% | > 7d | — | — | 45 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 3,609.75 (-7.5%) | 8.8 | 2.2% | 11h | 4.1d ago · 85× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | — | — | 89 → 2 |
| 14D VAL | 3,429.2 (-12.1%) | 14 | 0.8% | 4h | 4.1d ago · 59× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±10 | > 7d | — | — | 130 → 3 |
| LVN zone | 3,183.92–3,322.55 (-14.8%) | 17 | 0.3% | 1h | 2.5d ago · 47× | 3% ±15 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 3% ±5 | 3% ±12 | 3% ±22 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 38 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 2,975.97 (-23.7%) | 28 | 2.9% | 20h | 4.2d ago · 72× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | — | — | 95 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 2,752.62 (-29.4%) | 35 | 0.5% | 2h | 2.5d ago · 31× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | — | — | 98 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | long | 3,901.21 | 4,350.58 | 3,727.16 | expired | -3.19% |