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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-28 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.16 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 3,900.42 (+3.0%) | 3.1 | 0.4% | 2h | 4.5d ago · 70× | 52% ±44 | 31% ±29 | 8% ±17 | 62% ±30 | 10 | 12% ±12 | 51% ±44 | 97% ±24 | 97% | 23h | 1.81% | 3.15% | 30 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,786.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 3,578.96–3,783.48 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 1.8% | 12h | 1.5d ago · 85× | 84% ±36 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 81% ±16 | 85% ±35 | 85% | 85% | 1h | — | — | 24 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 3,775.2 (-0.3%) | 0.3 | 2.0% | 15h | 4.5d ago · 65× | building | building | building | building | building | 6 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 8 → 1 |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 3,720.73–3,733.8 (-1.4%) | 1.4 | 3.0% | 1.1d | 4.2d ago · 106× | 56% ±43 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 25% ±15 | 56% ±40 | 56% ±69 | 56% | 16h | — | — | 33 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 3,626.15 (-4.2%) | 4.4 | 2.7% | 14h | 8.5d ago · 38× | 4% ±20 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 4% ±8 | 4% ±19 | 4% | 4% | > 7d | — | — | 23 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 3,592.16 (-5.1%) | 5.3 | 2.2% | 13h | 4.1d ago · 85× | 3% ±11 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 2% ±3 | 3% ±11 | 3% ±20 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 62 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 3,516.69 (-7.1%) | 7.4 | 0.4% | 2h | 4.1d ago · 59× | 7% ±18 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±4 | 7% ±18 | 7% ±34 | 7% | > 7d | — | — | 44 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,169.9–3,327.23 (-12.1%) | 13 | 0.4% | 2h | 2.5d ago · 47× | 2% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 5% ±22 | 9% ±40 | > 7d | — | — | 68 → 2 |
| 30D POC | 2,564.19 (-32.3%) | 34 | 3.2% | 1.0d | 4.2d ago · 72× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | — | — | 94 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 2,383.26 (-37.1%) | 38 | 0.1% | 50m | 2.5d ago · 31× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | — | — | 99 → 2 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.