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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-29 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.16 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 3,880.22 (+2.7%) | 2.7 | 0.6% | 6h | 4.5d ago · 70× | 62% ±43 | 31% ±29 | 8% ±17 | 62% ±30 | 10 | 22% ±14 | 61% ±39 | 97% ±23 | 97% | 19h | 1.81% | 3.15% | 34 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 3,783.92 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 2.1% | 14h | 4.6d ago · 97× | 90% ±27 | 47% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 40% ±28 | 12 | 79% ±15 | 90% ±27 | 97% ±25 | 97% | 1h | 1.76% | 1.72% | 27 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,778.87 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 3,720.73–3,733.8 (-1.2%) | 1.2 | 3.2% | 1.2d | 4.2d ago · 106× | 62% ±39 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 38% ±16 | 63% ±39 | 74% ±61 | 74% | 8h | — | — | 36 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 3,626.15 (-4.0%) | 4.0 | 2.9% | 15h | 8.5d ago · 38× | 5% ±24 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 4% ±8 | 4% ±20 | 4% | 4% | > 7d | — | — | 22 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 3,596.52 (-4.8%) | 4.8 | 2.3% | 14h | 4.1d ago · 85× | 7% ±17 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 2% ±3 | 7% ±17 | 7% ±29 | 7% | > 7d | — | — | 56 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 3,516.69 (-6.9%) | 6.9 | 0.5% | 2h | 4.1d ago · 59× | 8% ±21 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±5 | 7% ±19 | 7% ±36 | 7% | > 7d | — | — | 40 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,169.9–3,327.23 (-12.0%) | 12 | 0.4% | 2h | 2.5d ago · 47× | 1% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 5% ±21 | 11% ±43 | > 7d | — | — | 71 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 2,949.64–3,012.57 (-20.3%) | 20 | 2.0% | 11h | 1.5d ago · 85× | 2% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±9 | 2% ±15 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 53 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 2,564.19 (-32.1%) | 32 | 3.3% | 1.1d | 4.2d ago · 72× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | — | — | 98 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 2,383.26 (-36.9%) | 37 | 0.1% | 53m | 2.5d ago · 31× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | — | — | 102 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 3,778.87 | 3,720.73 | 3,817.65 | stop | +0.15% |