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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-29 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.16 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 3,862.19 (+2.3%) | 2.2 | 0.6% | 4h | 4.5d ago · 70× | 64% ±38 | 31% ±29 | 8% ±17 | 62% ±30 | 10 | 20% ±13 | 61% ±39 | 98% ±22 | 98% | 19h | 1.81% | 3.15% | 38 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 3,783.92 (+0.2%) | 0.2 | 2.2% | 16h | 4.5d ago · 97× | 90% ±27 | 47% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 40% ±28 | 12 | 80% ±15 | 90% ±26 | 97% ±25 | 97% | 1h | 1.76% | 1.72% | 28 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,776.66 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC | 3,729.51 (-1.2%) | 1.2 | 3.2% | 1.1d | 4.2d ago · 85× | 53% ±56 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 45% ±23 | 60% ±55 | 75% | 75% | 6h | — | — | 18 → 1 |
| 7D POC · 30D VAH | 3,626.15–3,642.28 (-3.6%) | 3.5 | 2.9% | 18h | 4.2d ago · 106× | 19% ±29 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 3% ±5 | 23% ±31 | 34% ±66 | 34% | > 7d | — | — | 44 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 3,596.52 (-4.8%) | 4.7 | 2.3% | 14h | 4.1d ago · 85× | 7% ±17 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 2% ±3 | 7% ±16 | 7% ±29 | 7% | > 7d | — | — | 57 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 3,518.2 (-6.8%) | 6.8 | 0.5% | 2h | 4.1d ago · 59× | 10% ±24 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±5 | 10% ±22 | 10% ±42 | 10% | > 7d | — | — | 40 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,169.9–3,327.23 (-11.9%) | 12 | 0.4% | 2h | 2.5d ago · 47× | 1% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 5% ±21 | 10% ±42 | > 7d | — | — | 75 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 2,949.64–3,012.57 (-20.2%) | 20 | 2.0% | 11h | 1.5d ago · 85× | 2% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±9 | 2% ±15 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 54 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 2,564.19 (-32.1%) | 32 | 3.3% | 1.1d | 4.2d ago · 72× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | — | — | 99 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 2,383.26 (-36.9%) | 37 | 0.1% | 53m | 2.5d ago · 31× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±13 | > 7d | — | — | 103 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 3,776.66 | 3,642.28 | 3,817.65 | stop | -0.81% |