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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-29 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 3,840.55–3,844.93 (+2.4%) | 2.2 | 1.3% | 9h | 4.3d ago · 97× | 62% ±34 | 39% ±28 | 11% ±18 | 50% ±28 | 12 | 20% ±11 | 62% ±34 | 88% ±37 | 98% | 16h | 1.78% | 2.37% | 48 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,749.49 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 3,725.08–3,744.85 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 3.5% | 1.3d | 4.0d ago · 106× | 83% ±33 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 65% ±17 | 84% ±32 | 90% ±41 | 90% | 3h | — | — | 29 → 1 |
| 30D VAH · 7D VAL | 3,622.67–3,641.89 (-2.9%) | 2.7 | 3.0% | 18h | 3.9d ago · 85× | 14% ±28 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 3% ±6 | 14% ±28 | 14% ±48 | 14% | > 7d | — | — | 33 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 3,539.78 (-5.6%) | 5.2 | 1.3% | 9h | 3.9d ago · 59× | 20% ±45 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 4% ±9 | 19% ±38 | 19% | 19% | > 7d | — | — | 21 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,169.9–3,327.23 (-11.3%) | 10 | 0.4% | 2h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 3% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±8 | 11% ±27 | 17% ±52 | > 7d | — | — | 81 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 2,949.64–3,012.57 (-19.7%) | 18 | 2.1% | 12h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 2% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±7 | 2% ±12 | 2% ±17 | > 7d | — | — | 63 → 2 |
| 30D POC | 2,564.19 (-31.6%) | 29 | 3.4% | 1.2d | 4.0d ago · 72× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±13 | > 7d | — | — | 103 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 2,383.26 (-36.4%) | 34 | 0.1% | 57m | 2.3d ago · 31× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±11 | > 7d | — | — | 108 → 3 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.