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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-29 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 3,841.75–3,853.65 (+2.1%) | 1.9 | 1.3% | 8h | 4.3d ago · 97× | 66% ±33 | 39% ±28 | 11% ±18 | 50% ±28 | 12 | 27% ±13 | 66% ±33 | 88% ±37 | 98% | 12h | 1.78% | 2.37% | 46 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,763.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC | 3,747.19 (-0.4%) | 0.4 | 3.6% | 1.4d | 3.9d ago · 85× | 71% ±63 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 59% ±25 | 76% ±48 | 82% | 82% | 4h | — | — | 15 → 1 |
| 7D POC | 3,725.08 (-1.0%) | 0.9 | 3.4% | 1.1d | 3.9d ago · 106× | 79% ±35 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 57% ±16 | 80% ±32 | 86% ±48 | 86% | 3h | — | — | 35 → 1 |
| 30D VAH · 7D VAL | 3,627.03–3,641.89 (-3.2%) | 3.0 | 3.0% | 19h | 3.9d ago · 85× | 14% ±28 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 4% ±6 | 11% ±25 | 11% ±44 | 11% | > 7d | — | — | 37 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 3,544.56 (-5.8%) | 5.4 | 1.4% | 11h | 3.9d ago · 59× | 17% ±37 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 4% ±7 | 16% ±36 | 16% | 16% | > 7d | — | — | 25 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,169.9–3,327.23 (-11.6%) | 11 | 0.4% | 2h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 8% ±24 | 14% ±48 | > 7d | — | — | 81 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 2,949.64–3,012.57 (-20.0%) | 18 | 2.1% | 12h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 2% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±7 | 2% ±12 | 2% ±17 | > 7d | — | — | 63 → 2 |
| 30D POC | 2,564.19 (-31.9%) | 29 | 3.4% | 1.2d | 3.9d ago · 72× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±13 | > 7d | — | — | 104 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 2,383.26 (-36.7%) | 34 | 0.1% | 57m | 2.3d ago · 31× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±11 | > 7d | — | — | 109 → 3 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.