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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-30 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 3,888.51 (+3.1%) | 3.0 | 0.6% | 5h | 4.4d ago · 97× | 65% ±30 | 44% ±27 | 13% ±18 | 44% ±27 | 13 | 11% ±8 | 64% ±30 | 79% ±46 | 98% | 17h | 1.79% | 2.05% | 60 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,831.19 (+1.6%) | 1.5 | 1.6% | 11h | 4.3d ago · 70× | 71% ±40 | 36% ±28 | 7% ±15 | 57% ±29 | 11 | 50% ±16 | 74% ±35 | 97% ±22 | 97% | 5h | 1.82% | 2.89% | 36 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,772.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 3,768.67 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 3.3% | 1.1d | 4.0d ago · 106× | 84% ±36 | 69% ±29 | 8% ±17 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 67% ±18 | 78% ±41 | 84% | 84% | 2h | 3.98% | 0.78% | 25 → 1 | |
| 14D POC | 3,748.98 (-0.6%) | 0.6 | 3.6% | 1.3d | 4.0d ago · 85× | 72% ±51 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 61% ±21 | 78% ±40 | 87% | 87% | 4h | — | — | 21 → 1 |
| 30D VAH · 7D VAL | 3,644.46–3,657.62 (-3.0%) | 3.0 | 2.6% | 14h | 3.9d ago · 85× | 12% ±26 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 3% ±6 | 10% ±22 | 10% ±42 | 10% | > 7d | — | — | 39 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 3,557.15 (-5.7%) | 5.6 | 1.7% | 13h | 3.9d ago · 59× | 15% ±35 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 3% ±6 | 13% ±30 | 13% ±47 | 13% | > 7d | — | — | 31 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,169.9–3,327.23 (-11.8%) | 12 | 0.4% | 2h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 4% ±17 | 9% ±39 | > 7d | — | — | 83 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 2,949.64–3,012.57 (-20.1%) | 20 | 1.9% | 11h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 2% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 2% ±14 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 60 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 2,564.19 (-32.0%) | 32 | 3.2% | 1.1d | 4.0d ago · 72× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±11 | > 7d | — | — | 107 → 3 |
| 30D VAL | 2,383.26 (-36.8%) | 36 | 0.1% | 53m | 2.3d ago · 31× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±11 | > 7d | — | — | 111 → 3 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 3,772.3 | 3,888.51 | 3,644.46 | expired | +1.61% |