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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-30 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 3,888.51 (+2.5%) | 2.5 | 0.6% | 5h | 4.4d ago · 97× | 66% ±29 | 44% ±27 | 13% ±18 | 44% ±27 | 13 | 14% ±9 | 64% ±30 | 79% ±46 | 98% | 17h | 1.79% | 2.05% | 62 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,827.16 (+0.9%) | 0.9 | 1.8% | 12h | 4.3d ago · 70× | 88% ±24 | 36% ±28 | 7% ±15 | 57% ±29 | 11 | 74% ±13 | 89% ±23 | 98% ±20 | 98% | 2h | 1.82% | 2.89% | 44 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,794.79 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 3,781.74 (-0.3%) | 0.4 | 3.0% | 24h | 4.0d ago · 106× | 86% ±34 | 69% ±29 | 8% ±17 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 65% ±17 | 81% ±35 | 86% ±48 | 86% | 3h | 3.98% | 0.78% | 29 → 1 | |
| 14D POC | 3,750.28 (-1.2%) | 1.2 | 3.5% | 1.3d | 4.0d ago · 85× | 63% ±55 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 52% ±20 | 72% ±44 | 84% | 84% | 4h | — | — | 23 → 1 |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAH | 3,657.62–3,661.89 (-3.5%) | 3.6 | 2.4% | 12h | 3.9d ago · 85× | 9% ±23 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 3% ±5 | 8% ±20 | 8% ±38 | 8% | > 7d | — | — | 41 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 3,573.13 (-5.8%) | 6.0 | 1.8% | 13h | 3.9d ago · 59× | 12% ±28 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 3% ±5 | 11% ±25 | 11% ±43 | 11% | > 7d | — | — | 38 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,169.9–3,327.23 (-12.3%) | 13 | 0.4% | 2h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 4% ±20 | 8% ±37 | > 7d | — | — | 79 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 2,949.64–3,012.57 (-20.6%) | 21 | 1.9% | 11h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 2% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 2% ±14 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 58 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 2,564.19 (-32.4%) | 33 | 3.1% | 1.1d | 4.0d ago · 72× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±11 | > 7d | — | — | 105 → 3 |
| 30D VAL | 2,383.26 (-37.2%) | 38 | 0.1% | 51m | 2.3d ago · 31× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±11 | > 7d | — | — | 111 → 3 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.