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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-31 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3,925.08 (+1.4%) | 1.4 | 0.2% | 1h | 22.4d ago · 44× | 75% ±60 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 47% ±25 | 74% ±50 | 74% | 94% | 5h | — | — | 15 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 3,879.8 (+0.3%) | 0.3 | 0.9% | 8h | 4.4d ago · 97× | 88% ±29 | 47% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 41% ±26 | 14 | 79% ±14 | 88% ±28 | 97% ±23 | 97% | 1h | 1.84% | 1.72% | 32 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,869.86 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 3,578.96–3,830.68 (-1.0%) | 1.0 | 1.9% | 13h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 79% ±33 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 69% ±15 | 79% ±32 | 79% ±56 | 87% | 2h | — | — | 37 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 3,826.1 (-1.1%) | 1.1 | 2.1% | 14h | 14.8d ago · 55× | 81% ±29 | 67% ±27 | 7% ±14 | 27% ±25 | 12 | 60% ±15 | 81% ±29 | 84% ±51 | 84% | 3h | 3.05% | 1.63% | 41 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D POC | 3,750.64–3,768.67 (-2.6%) | 2.6 | 3.8% | 1.3d | 4.0d ago · 106× | 49% ±40 | 69% ±29 | 8% ±17 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 12% ±11 | 49% ±40 | 65% ±66 | 65% | 23h | 3.98% | 0.78% | 37 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,696.76 (-4.5%) | 4.4 | 2.4% | 14h | 3.9d ago · 85× | 7% ±17 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 3% ±5 | 8% ±17 | 8% ±31 | 8% | > 7d | — | — | 59 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 3,590.65 (-7.2%) | 7.1 | 2.3% | 14h | 3.9d ago · 59× | 6% ±16 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±3 | 5% ±15 | 5% ±26 | 5% | > 7d | — | — | 56 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,169.9–3,327.23 (-14.0%) | 14 | 0.4% | 2h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 1% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 3% ±16 | 3% ±23 | > 7d | — | — | 76 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 2,949.64 (-23.8%) | 23 | 2.2% | 1.0d | 2.3d ago · 31× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | — | — | 93 → 2 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.