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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-31 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3,925.08 (+1.6%) | 1.7 | 0.2% | 1h | 22.4d ago · 44× | 68% ±53 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 38% ±22 | 65% ±54 | 71% | 95% | 5h | — | — | 19 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 3,874.09 (+0.3%) | 0.3 | 1.1% | 10h | 4.4d ago · 97× | 89% ±25 | 47% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 41% ±26 | 14 | 78% ±14 | 89% ±25 | 97% ±22 | 97% | 1h | 1.84% | 1.72% | 35 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,862.08 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 3,578.96–3,830.68 (-0.8%) | 0.8 | 1.8% | 12h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 82% ±33 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 75% ±15 | 81% ±31 | 81% ±54 | 88% | 1h | — | — | 34 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 3,825.05 (-1.0%) | 1.0 | 2.0% | 14h | 14.8d ago · 55× | 81% ±29 | 67% ±27 | 7% ±14 | 27% ±25 | 12 | 61% ±15 | 81% ±29 | 83% ±52 | 83% | 2h | 3.05% | 1.63% | 42 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D POC | 3,752.7–3,768.44 (-2.4%) | 2.5 | 3.7% | 1.2d | 4.0d ago · 106× | 50% ±40 | 69% ±29 | 8% ±17 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 13% ±11 | 51% ±40 | 67% ±65 | 67% | 1.2d | 3.98% | 0.78% | 38 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,707.28 (-4.0%) | 4.1 | 2.7% | 17h | 3.9d ago · 85× | 10% ±20 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 4% ±5 | 11% ±20 | 11% ±35 | 11% | > 7d | — | — | 55 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 3,593.52 (-7.0%) | 7.1 | 2.2% | 14h | 3.9d ago · 59× | 6% ±15 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±3 | 5% ±14 | 5% ±26 | 5% | > 7d | — | — | 57 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,169.9–3,327.23 (-13.8%) | 14 | 0.4% | 2h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 1% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 3% ±16 | 3% ±23 | > 7d | — | — | 77 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 2,949.64 (-23.6%) | 24 | 2.1% | 24h | 2.3d ago · 31× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | — | — | 96 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 3,862.08 | 3,768.44 | 3,904.11 | target | +6.58% |