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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-07-31 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3,925.08 (+2.4%) | 2.7 | 0.2% | 1h | 22.4d ago · 44× | 48% ±49 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 19% ±15 | 44% ±49 | 53% | 96% | 2.0d | — | — | 25 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 3,866.67 (+0.9%) | 1.0 | 1.2% | 12h | 4.3d ago · 97× | 83% ±26 | 47% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 41% ±26 | 14 | 67% ±13 | 84% ±25 | 94% ±27 | 98% | 2h | 1.84% | 1.72% | 49 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,833 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 3,830.84 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 1.8% | 12h | 14.8d ago · 55× | 81% ±38 | 67% ±27 | 7% ±14 | 27% ±25 | 12 | 76% ±16 | 83% ±33 | 83% ±52 | 83% | 1h | 3.05% | 1.63% | 27 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 3,578.96–3,830.68 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 1.8% | 12h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 85% ±35 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 80% ±15 | 87% ±30 | 87% ±47 | 90% | 1h | — | — | 28 → 1 |
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D POC | 3,752.7–3,768.44 (-1.7%) | 1.9 | 3.4% | 1.1d | 4.0d ago · 106× | 58% ±39 | 69% ±29 | 8% ±17 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 21% ±13 | 57% ±40 | 72% ±62 | 72% | 23h | 3.98% | 0.78% | 37 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,707.28 (-3.3%) | 3.7 | 2.4% | 16h | 3.9d ago · 85× | 12% ±24 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 4% ±6 | 13% ±23 | 13% ±38 | 13% | > 7d | — | — | 47 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 3,599.31 (-6.1%) | 6.8 | 2.0% | 12h | 3.9d ago · 59× | 6% ±17 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±4 | 6% ±15 | 6% ±26 | 6% | > 7d | — | — | 53 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,169.9–3,327.23 (-13.2%) | 15 | 0.3% | 2h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 1% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±11 | 1% ±16 | > 7d | — | — | 74 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 2,949.64 (-23.0%) | 26 | 1.9% | 22h | 2.3d ago · 31× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±11 | > 7d | — | — | 109 → 3 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.