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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-01 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3,925.71 (+6.7%) | 7.0 | 0.2% | 1h | 22.4d ago · 44× | 15% ±31 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 3% ±6 | 15% ±28 | 40% ±68 | 81% | 3.4d | — | — | 34 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 3,858.44 (+4.8%) | 5.1 | 1.2% | 12h | 4.3d ago · 97× | 65% ±35 | 47% ±26 | 12% ±17 | 41% ±26 | 14 | 7% ±7 | 66% ±35 | 80% ±55 | 98% | 17h | 1.84% | 1.72% | 44 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,824.63 (+3.9%) | 4.1 | 2.1% | 14h | 4.3d ago · 70× | 50% ±37 | 40% ±28 | 7% ±14 | 53% ±28 | 12 | 11% ±10 | 50% ±37 | 93% ±36 | 93% | 1.1d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 42 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 3,781.22 (+2.7%) | 2.9 | 3.4% | 1.1d | 4.1d ago · 104× | building | 54% ±31 | 15% ±22 | 31% ±29 | 10 | 17% ±23 | 80% ±55 | 92% | 92% | 10h | 2.23% | 1.42% | 10 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 3,747.96–3,752.01 (+1.8%) | 1.9 | 3.7% | 1.3d | 4.1d ago · 79× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 5 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 3,710.86 (+0.8%) | 0.9 | 2.8% | 20h | 8.1d ago · 56× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 2 → 1 |
| at post · 3,680.4 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 3,620.16 (-1.6%) | 1.7 | 2.6% | 14h | 3.9d ago · 59× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 5 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,487.69–3,502.8 (-4.8%) | 5.1 | 0.3% | 1h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 11% ±18 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 1% ±3 | 11% ±18 | 26% ±43 | 34% ±66 | > 7d | — | — | 71 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 2,943.95–3,019.47 (-18.0%) | 19 | 1.5% | 7h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 1% ±7 | 38% ±30 | 38% ±30 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±11 | 1% ±16 | > 7d | 2.71% | 1.30% | 70 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,959.06 (-19.6%) | 21 | 2.6% | 1.1d | 2.3d ago · 31× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | — | — | 88 → 2 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.