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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-01 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3,925.71 (+8.8%) | 8.1 | 0.2% | 1h | 22.4d ago · 44× | 12% ±29 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 3% ±6 | 12% ±26 | 39% ±68 | 79% | 3.2d | — | — | 34 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 3,858.61 (+7.0%) | 6.4 | 1.4% | 14h | 4.4d ago · 97× | 59% ±48 | 50% ±25 | 11% ±16 | 39% ±25 | 15 | 7% ±9 | 59% ±43 | 78% ±58 | 97% | 21h | 1.89% | 1.39% | 28 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,824.63 (+6.0%) | 5.5 | 2.4% | 16h | 4.3d ago · 70× | 40% ±39 | 40% ±28 | 7% ±14 | 53% ±28 | 12 | 5% ±7 | 39% ±39 | 92% ±39 | 92% | 1.2d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 36 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 3,781.78 (+4.8%) | 4.4 | 3.8% | 1.2d | 4.2d ago · 104× | building | 54% ±31 | 15% ±22 | 31% ±29 | 10 | building | building | building | building | — | 2.23% | 1.42% | 8 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 3,747.96–3,752.01 (+3.9%) | 3.6 | 4.1% | 1.5d | 4.2d ago · 79× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | 17% ±23 | 58% ±68 | 92% | 92% | 1.0d | — | — | 10 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 3,712.09 (+2.9%) | 2.6 | 3.2% | 23h | 8.2d ago · 56× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 0 → 0 |
| 14D VAL | 3,620.16 (+0.3%) | 0.3 | 3.0% | 16h | 23.9d ago · 46× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 0 → 0 |
| at post · 3,607.81 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 3,487.69–3,502.8 (-2.9%) | 2.7 | 0.3% | 1h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 21% ±28 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 6% ±6 | 21% ±28 | 27% ±50 | 37% | > 7d | — | — | 50 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 2,943.95–3,019.47 (-16.3%) | 15 | 1.7% | 8h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 1% ±6 | 38% ±30 | 38% ±30 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±11 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | 2.71% | 1.30% | 80 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,959.06 (-18.0%) | 16 | 3.0% | 1.3d | 2.3d ago · 31× | 2% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 2% ±14 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 62 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | short | 3,607.81 | 3,403.34 | 3,747.96 | expired | +3.27% |