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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-01 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3,925.75 (+7.2%) | 6.3 | 0.2% | 1h | 22.4d ago · 44× | 19% ±35 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 3% ±6 | 18% ±31 | 46% ±69 | 90% | 3.2d | — | — | 34 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 3,876.48 (+5.9%) | 5.1 | 1.1% | 10h | 4.3d ago · 97× | 67% ±35 | 50% ±25 | 11% ±16 | 39% ±25 | 15 | 7% ±7 | 66% ±35 | 81% ±55 | 98% | 17h | 1.89% | 1.39% | 44 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,824.63 (+4.5%) | 3.9 | 2.5% | 17h | 4.3d ago · 70× | 51% ±40 | 40% ±28 | 7% ±14 | 53% ±28 | 12 | 12% ±10 | 49% ±37 | 92% ±37 | 92% | 1.1d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 41 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D POC | 3,729.96–3,781.78 (+1.9%) | 1.6 | 3.9% | 1.4d | 4.1d ago · 104× | building | 54% ±31 | 15% ±22 | 31% ±29 | 10 | 15% ±21 | 69% ±64 | 92% | 92% | 12h | 2.23% | 1.42% | 11 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,661.55 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 3,620.16 (-1.1%) | 1.0 | 3.4% | 19h | 3.9d ago · 59× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 4 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,489.15–3,504.21 (-4.3%) | 3.8 | 0.3% | 1h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 17% ±23 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 3% ±4 | 17% ±23 | 30% ±52 | 33% | > 7d | — | — | 60 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 2,947.17–3,022.44 (-17.5%) | 15 | 1.7% | 8h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 1% ±6 | 38% ±30 | 38% ±30 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±10 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | 2.71% | 1.30% | 81 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,962.22 (-19.1%) | 17 | 3.3% | 1.3d | 2.3d ago · 31× | 2% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±7 | 2% ±12 | 2% ±17 | > 7d | — | — | 63 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | long | 3,661.55 | 3,747.96 | 3,583.36 | stop | -4.21% |