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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-01 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3,940.81 (+9.9%) | 7.5 | <0.1% | 28m | 22.4d ago · 44× | 11% ±25 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 3% ±5 | 11% ±25 | 37% ±67 | 82% | 3.4d | — | — | 38 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 3,876.42 (+8.1%) | 6.1 | 1.3% | 12h | 4.4d ago · 97× | 63% ±42 | 50% ±25 | 11% ±16 | 39% ±25 | 15 | 6% ±8 | 61% ±39 | 79% ±56 | 97% | 21h | 1.89% | 1.39% | 33 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,824.63 (+6.7%) | 5.0 | 2.8% | 20h | 4.3d ago · 70× | 51% ±37 | 40% ±28 | 7% ±14 | 53% ±28 | 12 | 4% ±6 | 49% ±37 | 93% ±36 | 93% | 1.1d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 44 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 3,783.62 (+5.5%) | 4.2 | 4.5% | 1.4d | 4.2d ago · 104× | building | 54% ±31 | 15% ±22 | 31% ±29 | 10 | 17% ±23 | 74% ±61 | 92% | 92% | 18h | 2.23% | 1.42% | 10 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D POC · 30D POC | 3,724.92–3,757.34 (+3.9%) | 2.9 | 4.4% | 1.4d | 4.2d ago · 79× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | 14% ±20 | 52% ±69 | 93% | 93% | 1.0d | — | — | 12 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 3,624.81 (+1.1%) | 0.8 | 4.2% | 23h | 23.9d ago · 46× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 1 → 1 |
| at post · 3,586.04 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 3,177.59–3,324.36 (-7.3%) | 5.5 | 0.4% | 2h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 11% ±18 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 1% ±3 | 11% ±18 | 26% ±43 | 34% ±66 | > 7d | — | — | 74 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 2,942.75–3,001.46 (-16.3%) | 12 | 3.2% | 21h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 1% ±7 | 38% ±30 | 38% ±30 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±12 | 1% ±16 | > 7d | 2.71% | 1.30% | 69 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,972.1 (-17.1%) | 13 | 4.0% | 1.3d | 2.3d ago · 31× | 2% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±9 | 2% ±15 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 56 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.