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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-01 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3,940.81 (+11.3%) | 8.3 | <0.1% | 29m | 22.4d ago · 44× | 12% ±28 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 3% ±5 | 11% ±25 | 38% ±67 | 77% | 3.4d | — | — | 38 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 3,877.7 (+9.5%) | 7.0 | 1.2% | 12h | 4.4d ago · 97× | 57% ±49 | 50% ±25 | 11% ±16 | 39% ±25 | 15 | 3% ±7 | 52% ±44 | 77% ±59 | 97% | 23h | 1.89% | 1.39% | 27 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,828.11 (+8.1%) | 5.9 | 2.7% | 19h | 4.3d ago · 70× | 44% ±44 | 40% ±28 | 7% ±14 | 53% ±28 | 12 | 5% ±7 | 41% ±39 | 91% ±39 | 91% | 1.2d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 38 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D POC | 3,749.22–3,780.77 (+5.9%) | 4.3 | 5.0% | 1.8d | 4.2d ago · 104× | building | 54% ±31 | 15% ±22 | 31% ±29 | 10 | 14% ±20 | 54% ±69 | 93% | 93% | 1.0d | 2.23% | 1.42% | 12 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,719.91 (+5.1%) | 3.7 | 4.4% | 1.4d | 8.2d ago · 56× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 2 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 3,625.24 (+2.4%) | 1.8 | 4.3% | 23h | 23.9d ago · 46× | building | building | building | building | building | 0 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 1 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 3,573.88–3,823.39 (+1.0%) | 0.7 | 2.9% | 19h | 1.5d ago · 83× | 89% ±35 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 68% ±22 | 89% ±35 | 95% | 95% | 1h | — | — | 17 → 1 |
| at post · 3,539.9 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 3,177.59–3,324.36 (-6.1%) | 4.4 | 0.4% | 2h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 14% ±21 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 3% ±4 | 18% ±22 | 31% ±46 | 38% ±67 | > 7d | — | — | 72 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 2,942.75–3,016.13 (-14.8%) | 11 | 2.2% | 12h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 2% ±8 | 38% ±30 | 38% ±30 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±7 | 2% ±12 | 2% ±17 | > 7d | 2.71% | 1.30% | 63 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,986.78 (-15.6%) | 11 | 3.9% | 1.1d | 2.3d ago · 31× | 2% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±9 | 2% ±15 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 55 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.