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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-02 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3,940.81 (+12.4%) | 9.8 | <0.1% | 25m | 22.4d ago · 44× | 3% ±15 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 3% ±5 | 3% ±13 | 22% ±57 | 67% | 3.7d | — | — | 35 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 3,899.85 (+11.2%) | 8.8 | 0.4% | 3h | 4.3d ago · 97× | building | 50% ±25 | 11% ±16 | 39% ±25 | 15 | 6% ±12 | 14% ±39 | 55% | 94% | 2.5d | 1.89% | 1.39% | 15 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,828.18 (+9.2%) | 7.2 | 2.5% | 17h | 4.3d ago · 70× | 41% ±43 | 40% ±28 | 7% ±14 | 53% ±28 | 12 | 6% ±8 | 38% ±39 | 97% ±23 | 97% | 1.3d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 33 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC | 3,757.34–3,784.67 (+7.1%) | 5.6 | 4.7% | 1.6d | 4.1d ago · 104× | 58% ±68 | 54% ±31 | 15% ±22 | 31% ±29 | 10 | 10% ±15 | 52% ±57 | 78% | 78% | 24h | 2.23% | 1.42% | 15 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,695.07 (+5.4%) | 4.2 | 3.1% | 19h | 8.1d ago · 56× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 6 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 3,623.4 (+3.3%) | 2.6 | 3.9% | 21h | 23.9d ago · 46× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 4 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 3,559.2–3,823.39 (+1.5%) | 1.2 | 2.3% | 17h | 1.5d ago · 83× | 89% ±35 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 48% ±21 | 78% ±40 | 96% | 96% | 5h | — | — | 21 → 1 |
| at post · 3,507.22 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 3,177.59–3,324.36 (-5.2%) | 4.1 | 0.4% | 2h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 15% ±21 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 3% ±4 | 18% ±22 | 31% ±45 | 36% ±67 | > 7d | — | — | 74 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 2,942.75–3,016.13 (-14.0%) | 11 | 2.0% | 11h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 2% ±8 | 38% ±30 | 38% ±30 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±12 | 1% ±17 | > 7d | 2.71% | 1.30% | 67 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,001.46 (-14.4%) | 11 | 3.0% | 19h | 2.3d ago · 31× | 2% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 2% ±14 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 59 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.