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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-02 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3,940.81 (+13.5%) | 12 | <0.1% | 20m | 22.4d ago · 44× | 3% ±16 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 3% ±6 | 3% ±13 | 20% ±55 | 63% | 3.9d | — | — | 33 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 3,899.85 (+12.4%) | 11 | 0.4% | 3h | 4.3d ago · 97× | building | 50% ±25 | 11% ±16 | 39% ±25 | 15 | 8% ±17 | 8% ±38 | 50% | 92% | 2.5d | 1.89% | 1.39% | 10 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,828.18 (+10.3%) | 9.3 | 2.1% | 15h | 4.3d ago · 70× | 48% ±49 | 40% ±28 | 7% ±14 | 53% ±28 | 12 | 7% ±10 | 43% ±43 | 97% ±25 | 97% | 1.2d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 27 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 3,784.67 (+9.0%) | 8.2 | 3.6% | 1.1d | 4.1d ago · 104× | building | 54% ±31 | 15% ±22 | 31% ±29 | 10 | building | building | building | building | — | 2.23% | 1.42% | 9 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 3,757.34–3,764.19 (+8.3%) | 7.5 | 4.1% | 1.4d | 4.1d ago · 79× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | 14% ±20 | 74% ±61 | 93% | 93% | 20h | — | — | 12 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 3,674.6 (+5.9%) | 5.3 | 2.6% | 13h | 8.1d ago · 56× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 6 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 3,623.4 (+4.4%) | 4.0 | 3.4% | 19h | 23.9d ago · 46× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 3 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 3,559.2–3,823.39 (+2.6%) | 2.3 | 2.0% | 14h | 1.5d ago · 83× | 85% ±50 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 31% ±24 | 76% ±59 | 94% | 94% | 7h | — | — | 14 → 1 |
| at post · 3,470.59 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 3,177.59–3,324.36 (-4.2%) | 3.8 | 0.3% | 2h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 16% ±23 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 3% ±4 | 19% ±23 | 32% ±46 | 37% ±67 | > 7d | — | — | 68 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 2,942.75–3,016.13 (-13.1%) | 12 | 1.7% | 9h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 1% ±7 | 38% ±30 | 38% ±30 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±11 | 1% ±16 | > 7d | 2.71% | 1.30% | 73 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,001.46 (-13.5%) | 12 | 2.7% | 17h | 2.3d ago · 31× | 2% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 2% ±14 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 62 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.