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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-02 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3,940.81 (+15.1%) | 13 | <0.1% | 21m | 22.4d ago · 44× | 4% ±19 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 3% ±6 | 3% ±15 | 16% ±51 | 61% | 4.0d | — | — | 31 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 3,889.54 (+13.6%) | 12 | 0.6% | 5h | 4.4d ago · 97× | building | 50% ±25 | 11% ±16 | 39% ±25 | 15 | building | building | building | building | — | 1.89% | 1.39% | 8 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,826.87 (+11.8%) | 10 | 2.2% | 16h | 4.3d ago · 70× | 50% ±57 | 40% ±28 | 7% ±14 | 53% ±28 | 12 | 7% ±10 | 45% ±49 | 96% | 96% | 1.0d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 26 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 3,784.15 (+10.6%) | 9.1 | 3.8% | 1.2d | 4.2d ago · 104× | building | 54% ±31 | 15% ±22 | 31% ±29 | 10 | building | building | building | building | — | 2.23% | 1.42% | 7 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 3,749.97–3,757.34 (+9.6%) | 8.2 | 4.1% | 1.5d | 4.2d ago · 79× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | 14% ±20 | 61% ±68 | 93% | 93% | 1.0d | — | — | 12 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 3,644.58 (+6.5%) | 5.6 | 3.5% | 21h | 8.2d ago · 56× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 7 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 3,616.09 (+5.7%) | 4.9 | 3.3% | 18h | 23.9d ago · 46× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 3 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 3,559.2–3,823.39 (+4.0%) | 3.4 | 2.0% | 15h | 1.5d ago · 83× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 5 → 1 |
| at post · 3,422.5 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 3,177.59–3,324.36 (-2.9%) | 2.5 | 0.4% | 2h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 24% ±30 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 8% ±7 | 25% ±30 | 29% ±51 | 39% | > 7d | — | — | 50 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 2,942.75–3,016.13 (-11.9%) | 10 | 1.7% | 10h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 2% ±9 | 38% ±30 | 38% ±30 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 2% ±14 | 2% | > 7d | 2.71% | 1.30% | 62 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,001.46 (-12.3%) | 11 | 2.7% | 17h | 2.3d ago · 31× | 2% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 2% ±14 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 58 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.