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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-03 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3,940.81 (+14.5%) | 13 | <0.1% | 20m | 22.4d ago · 44× | 3% ±16 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 3% ±6 | 3% ±13 | 16% ±51 | 61% | 4.0d | — | — | 33 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 3,899.7 (+13.3%) | 12 | 0.4% | 3h | 4.4d ago · 97× | building | 50% ±25 | 11% ±16 | 39% ±25 | 15 | 8% ±17 | 8% ±38 | 8% | 8% | > 7d | 1.89% | 1.39% | 10 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,829.22 (+11.2%) | 9.9 | 2.1% | 15h | 4.3d ago · 70× | 44% ±49 | 40% ±28 | 7% ±14 | 53% ±28 | 12 | 6% ±9 | 40% ±43 | 97% ±24 | 97% | 1.2d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 29 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC | 3,757.34–3,785.18 (+9.1%) | 8.1 | 4.1% | 1.4d | 4.2d ago · 104× | building | 54% ±31 | 15% ±22 | 31% ±29 | 10 | 11% ±16 | 38% ±67 | 46% | 46% | 1.2d | 2.23% | 1.42% | 14 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 3,617.8–3,629.54 (+5.1%) | 4.5 | 3.3% | 18h | 8.2d ago · 56× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | 8% ±17 | 8% ±38 | 8% | 8% | > 7d | — | — | 10 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 3,559.2–3,823.39 (+3.4%) | 3.0 | 2.0% | 15h | 1.5d ago · 83× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | 25% ±27 | 74% ±61 | 74% | 74% | 11h | — | — | 10 → 1 |
| at post · 3,443.12 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 3,177.59–3,324.36 (-3.4%) | 3.1 | 0.3% | 2h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 21% ±25 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 4% ±5 | 19% ±23 | 28% ±44 | 33% ±65 | > 7d | — | — | 67 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 3,016.13 (-12.4%) | 11 | 1.7% | 9h | 2.3d ago · 31× | 2% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 2% ±14 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 60 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 2,942.75–3,016.13 (-12.4%) | 11 | 1.7% | 9h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 1% ±7 | 38% ±30 | 38% ±30 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±11 | 1% ±16 | > 7d | 2.71% | 1.30% | 71 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.