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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-03 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3,940.81 (+13.9%) | 14 | <0.1% | 15m | 22.4d ago · 44× | 4% ±19 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 3% ±6 | 3% ±15 | 14% ±47 | 55% | 6.7d | — | — | 30 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 3,899.7 (+12.7%) | 13 | 0.3% | 2h | 4.3d ago · 97× | building | 50% ±25 | 11% ±16 | 39% ±25 | 15 | building | building | building | building | — | 1.89% | 1.39% | 9 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,835.1 (+10.8%) | 11 | 1.6% | 11h | 4.3d ago · 70× | 45% ±56 | 40% ±28 | 7% ±14 | 53% ±28 | 12 | 8% ±11 | 40% ±48 | 96% | 96% | 1.2d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 24 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 3,785.18 (+9.4%) | 9.6 | 3.2% | 1.0d | 4.1d ago · 104× | building | 54% ±31 | 15% ±22 | 31% ±29 | 10 | building | building | building | building | — | 2.23% | 1.42% | 9 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 3,757.34–3,767.56 (+8.6%) | 8.7 | 3.6% | 1.2d | 4.1d ago · 79× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | 13% ±18 | 45% ±69 | 45% | 45% | > 7d | — | — | 13 → 1 |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 3,617.8–3,623.67 (+4.5%) | 4.6 | 2.9% | 16h | 8.1d ago · 56× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | 8% ±16 | 8% ±37 | 8% | 8% | > 7d | — | — | 11 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 3,559.2–3,838.07 (+2.8%) | 2.9 | 1.7% | 13h | 1.5d ago · 83× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | 23% ±25 | 65% ±66 | 65% | 65% | 11h | — | — | 11 → 1 |
| at post · 3,460.84 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 3,177.59–3,324.36 (-3.9%) | 4.0 | 0.3% | 2h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 18% ±22 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±3 | 17% ±20 | 30% ±45 | 34% ±66 | > 7d | — | — | 78 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 3,016.13 (-12.8%) | 13 | 1.5% | 8h | 2.3d ago · 31× | 2% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±12 | 1% ±17 | > 7d | — | — | 66 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 2,942.75–3,016.13 (-12.8%) | 13 | 1.5% | 8h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 1% ±6 | 38% ±30 | 38% ±30 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | 2.71% | 1.30% | 85 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.