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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-03 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3,940.81 (+12.8%) | 14 | <0.1% | 13m | 22.4d ago · 44× | 4% ±18 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 3% ±6 | 3% ±15 | 13% ±47 | 55% | 6.7d | — | — | 32 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 3,899.7 (+11.6%) | 13 | 0.3% | 2h | 4.3d ago · 97× | building | 50% ±25 | 11% ±16 | 39% ±25 | 15 | 8% ±16 | 8% ±37 | 8% | 8% | > 7d | 1.89% | 1.39% | 11 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,835.1 (+9.8%) | 11 | 1.5% | 10h | 4.3d ago · 70× | 39% ±48 | 40% ±28 | 7% ±14 | 53% ±28 | 12 | 7% ±10 | 35% ±42 | 85% ±49 | 85% | 1.4d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 27 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 3,785.18 (+8.4%) | 9.4 | 3.0% | 22h | 4.1d ago · 104× | building | 54% ±31 | 15% ±22 | 31% ±29 | 10 | 8% ±16 | 8% ±37 | 8% | 8% | > 7d | 2.23% | 1.42% | 11 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 3,757.38–3,767.56 (+7.6%) | 8.5 | 3.3% | 1.1d | 4.1d ago · 79× | 46% ±69 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 10% ±14 | 27% ±50 | 33% | 33% | > 7d | — | — | 17 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 3,611.92 (+3.4%) | 3.8 | 2.4% | 14h | 23.9d ago · 46× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | 8% ±17 | 8% ±38 | 8% | 8% | > 7d | — | — | 10 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 3,594.3 (+2.9%) | 3.2 | 2.2% | 13h | 8.1d ago · 56× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | 8% ±16 | 8% ±37 | 8% | 8% | > 7d | — | — | 11 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 3,559.27–3,838.09 (+1.9%) | 2.1 | 1.6% | 12h | 1.4d ago · 83× | 69% ±64 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 25% ±20 | 60% ±56 | 68% | 68% | 11h | — | — | 18 → 1 |
| at post · 3,493.29 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 3,177.72–3,324.47 (-4.8%) | 5.4 | 0.3% | 1h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 12% ±18 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 12% ±17 | 26% ±39 | 34% ±66 | > 7d | — | — | 84 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 3,030.97 (-13.2%) | 15 | 1.3% | 6h | 2.3d ago · 31× | 1% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±11 | 1% ±16 | > 7d | — | — | 75 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 2,942.92–3,030.97 (-13.2%) | 15 | 1.3% | 6h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 1% ±5 | 38% ±30 | 38% ±30 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | 2.71% | 1.30% | 94 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.