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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-03 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3,926.26 (+12.5%) | 17 | 0.1% | 48m | 22.4d ago · 44× | 5% ±24 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 4% ±7 | 4% ±18 | 16% | 53% | 6.9d | — | — | 26 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 3,899.7 (+11.7%) | 16 | 0.2% | 2h | 4.4d ago · 97× | building | 50% ±25 | 11% ±16 | 39% ±25 | 15 | building | building | building | building | — | 1.89% | 1.39% | 9 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,835.1 (+9.9%) | 14 | 1.2% | 8h | 4.3d ago · 70× | building | 40% ±28 | 7% ±14 | 53% ±28 | 12 | 6% ±13 | 32% ±65 | 61% | 61% | 1.2d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 14 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 3,785.18 (+8.4%) | 12 | 2.4% | 18h | 4.2d ago · 104× | building | 54% ±31 | 15% ±22 | 31% ±29 | 10 | building | building | building | building | — | 2.23% | 1.42% | 9 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 3,758.95–3,767.56 (+7.7%) | 11 | 2.7% | 21h | 4.2d ago · 79× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | 8% ±16 | 31% ±64 | 31% | 31% | > 7d | — | — | 11 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 3,606.05 (+3.3%) | 4.6 | 1.8% | 10h | 23.9d ago · 46× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 9 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 3,582.56 (+2.6%) | 3.6 | 1.8% | 10h | 8.2d ago · 56× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | 7% ±15 | 7% ±36 | 7% | 7% | > 7d | — | — | 12 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 3,562.54–3,838.97 (+2.1%) | 2.8 | 1.4% | 9h | 1.5d ago · 83× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | 24% ±21 | 52% ±57 | 52% | 52% | 14h | — | — | 15 → 1 |
| at post · 3,490.76 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 3,184.27–3,329.76 (-4.6%) | 6.4 | 0.2% | 1h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 9% ±15 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 9% ±15 | 20% ±35 | 27% ±61 | > 7d | — | — | 88 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 3,038.78 (-12.9%) | 18 | 1.2% | 6h | 2.3d ago · 31× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | — | — | 84 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 2,936.94–3,024.23 (-13.4%) | 18 | 1.0% | 4h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 1% ±6 | 38% ±30 | 38% ±30 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | 2.71% | 1.30% | 89 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.