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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-04 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3,926.27 (+10.8%) | 16 | 0.1% | 44m | 22.4d ago · 44× | 4% ±20 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 3% ±7 | 3% ±16 | 16% ±51 | 53% | 6.9d | — | — | 28 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 3,899.7 (+10.0%) | 15 | 0.2% | 2h | 4.4d ago · 97× | building | 50% ±25 | 11% ±16 | 39% ±25 | 15 | 8% ±16 | 8% ±37 | 8% | 8% | > 7d | 1.89% | 1.39% | 11 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,840.97 (+8.4%) | 13 | 1.0% | 6h | 4.3d ago · 70× | 38% ±67 | 40% ±28 | 7% ±14 | 53% ±28 | 12 | 5% ±9 | 33% ±53 | 95% | 95% | 2.2d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 20 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 3,785.18 (+6.8%) | 10 | 2.2% | 17h | 4.2d ago · 104× | building | 54% ±31 | 15% ±22 | 31% ±29 | 10 | 7% ±15 | 7% ±36 | 7% | 7% | > 7d | 2.23% | 1.42% | 12 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 3,759–3,767.56 (+6.1%) | 9.2 | 2.5% | 20h | 4.2d ago · 79× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | 6% ±12 | 20% ±45 | 20% | 20% | > 7d | — | — | 15 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 3,606.05 (+1.8%) | 2.7 | 1.7% | 9h | 23.9d ago · 46× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 8 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 3,570.81 (+0.8%) | 1.2 | 1.3% | 9h | 8.2d ago · 56× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 4 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 3,562.64–3,839 (+0.5%) | 0.8 | 1.2% | 9h | 1.5d ago · 83× | 76% ±42 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 52% ±20 | 76% ±42 | 84% | 84% | 4h | — | — | 23 → 1 |
| at post · 3,543.9 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 3,184.47–3,329.92 (-6.0%) | 9.2 | 0.2% | 1h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 4% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±10 | 10% ±27 | 21% ±56 | > 7d | — | — | 97 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 3,039.02 (-14.2%) | 22 | 1.1% | 6h | 2.3d ago · 31× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±11 | > 7d | — | — | 110 → 3 |
| HVN zone | 2,937.21–3,024.48 (-14.7%) | 22 | 0.9% | 4h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 1% ±7 | 38% ±30 | 38% ±30 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±11 | 1% ±16 | > 7d | 2.71% | 1.30% | 71 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.