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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-04 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3,926.42 (+6.2%) | 7.2 | 0.2% | 59m | 22.4d ago · 44× | 11% ±23 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 2% ±4 | 11% ±22 | 29% ±51 | 76% | 3.9d | — | — | 45 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 3,874.79 (+4.8%) | 5.6 | 0.9% | 8h | 4.3d ago · 97× | 53% ±35 | 50% ±25 | 11% ±16 | 39% ±25 | 15 | 6% ±7 | 53% ±35 | 66% ±54 | 92% | 21h | 1.89% | 1.39% | 46 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,835.1 (+3.7%) | 4.3 | 1.5% | 11h | 4.3d ago · 70× | 42% ±34 | 40% ±28 | 7% ±14 | 53% ±28 | 12 | 9% ±8 | 42% ±32 | 77% ±48 | 77% | 1.4d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 51 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC | 3,760.99–3,781.71 (+1.7%) | 2.0 | 3.4% | 1.1d | 4.1d ago · 104× | 59% ±56 | 54% ±31 | 15% ±22 | 31% ±29 | 10 | 11% ±15 | 59% ±56 | 71% | 71% | 12h | 2.23% | 1.42% | 16 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,698.28 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 3,588.43 (-3.0%) | 3.5 | 2.3% | 14h | 3.9d ago · 59× | 57% ±69 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 20% ±22 | 57% ±69 | 64% | 71% | 19h | — | — | 13 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 3,545 (-4.1%) | 4.8 | 1.7% | 15h | 3.9d ago · 85× | 13% ±19 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 4% ±4 | 13% ±19 | 23% ±41 | 44% ±69 | > 7d | — | — | 74 → 2 |
| LVN zone | 3,178.37–3,322.23 (-10.2%) | 12 | 0.3% | 1h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 3% ±15 | 11% ±44 | > 7d | — | — | 96 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 3,063.29 (-17.2%) | 20 | 0.9% | 4h | 2.3d ago · 31× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±11 | > 7d | — | — | 110 → 3 |
| HVN zone | 2,948.2–3,020.13 (-18.3%) | 21 | 1.2% | 6h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 1% ±6 | 38% ±30 | 38% ±30 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±10 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | 2.71% | 1.30% | 81 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.