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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-04 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.16 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3,926.27 (+6.6%) | 8.3 | 0.1% | 56m | 22.5d ago · 44× | 9% ±21 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 2% ±4 | 9% ±21 | 30% ±63 | 72% | 3.7d | — | — | 44 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 3,874.79 (+5.2%) | 6.6 | 0.8% | 8h | 4.4d ago · 97× | 41% ±39 | 50% ±25 | 11% ±16 | 39% ±25 | 15 | 3% ±5 | 41% ±39 | 54% ±69 | 97% | 1.9d | 1.89% | 1.39% | 35 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,835.1 (+4.1%) | 5.2 | 1.4% | 10h | 4.4d ago · 70× | 37% ±34 | 40% ±28 | 7% ±14 | 53% ±28 | 12 | 4% ±5 | 37% ±34 | 73% ±50 | 73% | 1.5d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 49 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC | 3,759–3,781.71 (+2.1%) | 2.6 | 3.1% | 1.0d | 4.2d ago · 104× | 45% ±56 | 54% ±31 | 15% ±22 | 31% ±29 | 10 | 13% ±16 | 45% ±56 | 58% | 58% | 1.1d | 2.23% | 1.42% | 16 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,683.05 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 3,588.43 (-2.6%) | 3.2 | 2.1% | 13h | 4.0d ago · 59× | 64% ±66 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 29% ±26 | 64% ±66 | 71% | 71% | 15h | — | — | 12 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 3,545 (-3.7%) | 4.7 | 1.6% | 14h | 4.0d ago · 85× | 14% ±19 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 4% ±5 | 14% ±19 | 23% ±41 | 45% ±69 | > 7d | — | — | 71 → 2 |
| LVN zone | 3,184.47–3,329.92 (-9.6%) | 12 | 0.3% | 2h | 2.4d ago · 47× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 3% ±15 | 11% ±44 | > 7d | — | — | 95 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 3,053.57 (-17.1%) | 22 | 1.1% | 5h | 2.4d ago · 31× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±10 | > 7d | — | — | 114 → 3 |
| HVN zone | 2,951.75–3,024.48 (-17.9%) | 23 | 1.2% | 5h | 1.4d ago · 85× | 1% ±7 | 38% ±30 | 38% ±30 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±11 | 1% ±16 | > 7d | 2.71% | 1.30% | 73 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.