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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-04 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3,926.27 (+10.0%) | 14 | 0.1% | 49m | 22.4d ago · 44× | 3% ±15 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 3% ±5 | 3% ±12 | 11% ±44 | 53% | 6.9d | — | — | 38 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 3,874.79 (+8.6%) | 12 | 0.7% | 7h | 4.3d ago · 97× | 7% ±36 | 50% ±25 | 11% ±16 | 39% ±25 | 15 | 5% ±10 | 5% ±25 | 5% | 5% | > 7d | 1.89% | 1.39% | 18 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,840.97 (+7.6%) | 11 | 1.1% | 7h | 4.3d ago · 70× | 32% ±46 | 40% ±28 | 7% ±14 | 53% ±28 | 12 | 6% ±8 | 29% ±40 | 65% ±66 | 65% | 2.0d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 32 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 3,781.71 (+6.0%) | 8.3 | 2.5% | 19h | 4.1d ago · 104× | 19% ±54 | 54% ±31 | 15% ±22 | 31% ±29 | 10 | 5% ±9 | 16% ±42 | 16% | 16% | > 7d | 2.23% | 1.42% | 20 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 3,759–3,767.56 (+5.3%) | 7.4 | 2.7% | 22h | 4.1d ago · 79× | 26% ±50 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 7% ±10 | 21% ±40 | 24% | 24% | > 7d | — | — | 23 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 3,594.3 (+0.7%) | 1.0 | 1.8% | 10h | 23.9d ago · 46× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 5 → 1 |
| at post · 3,568.69 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 3,545 (-0.7%) | 0.9 | 1.4% | 12h | 3.9d ago · 85× | 47% ±56 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 50% ±25 | 50% ±57 | 50% | 67% | 4h | — | — | 16 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,184.47–3,329.92 (-6.7%) | 9.3 | 0.2% | 1h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 3% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±8 | 9% ±23 | 19% ±55 | > 7d | — | — | 100 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 3,039.02 (-14.8%) | 21 | 1.2% | 6h | 2.3d ago · 31× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±11 | > 7d | — | — | 107 → 3 |
| HVN zone | 2,951.75–3,024.48 (-15.2%) | 21 | 1.0% | 4h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 1% ±6 | 38% ±30 | 38% ±30 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±11 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | 2.71% | 1.30% | 79 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.