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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-04 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3,926.27 (+10.6%) | 15 | 0.1% | 50m | 22.4d ago · 44× | 3% ±15 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 3% ±5 | 3% ±13 | 12% ±45 | 54% | 6.9d | — | — | 36 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 3,880.47 (+9.3%) | 13 | 0.6% | 5h | 4.3d ago · 97× | 8% ±38 | 50% ±25 | 11% ±16 | 39% ±25 | 15 | 6% ±11 | 6% ±26 | 6% | 6% | > 7d | 1.89% | 1.39% | 16 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,840.97 (+8.2%) | 11 | 1.1% | 7h | 4.3d ago · 70× | 35% ±47 | 40% ±28 | 7% ±14 | 53% ±28 | 12 | 6% ±9 | 32% ±41 | 74% ±61 | 74% | 1.5d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 30 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 3,785.4 (+6.7%) | 9.1 | 2.4% | 18h | 4.1d ago · 104× | 17% ±52 | 54% ±31 | 15% ±22 | 31% ±29 | 10 | 6% ±11 | 13% ±38 | 13% | 13% | > 7d | 2.23% | 1.42% | 16 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 3,759–3,767.56 (+5.9%) | 8.1 | 2.8% | 22h | 4.1d ago · 79× | 35% ±54 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 8% ±11 | 20% ±39 | 24% | 24% | > 7d | — | — | 21 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 3,600.18 (+1.4%) | 2.0 | 1.8% | 10h | 23.9d ago · 46× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 7 → 1 |
| at post · 3,549.15 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 3,549.08 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 1.4% | 12h | 3.9d ago · 85× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 6 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,184.47–3,329.92 (-6.2%) | 8.4 | 0.2% | 1h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 4% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±10 | 12% ±28 | 22% ±58 | > 7d | — | — | 96 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 3,039.02 (-14.4%) | 20 | 1.2% | 6h | 2.3d ago · 31× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | — | — | 101 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 2,951.75–3,024.48 (-14.8%) | 20 | 1.0% | 5h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 1% ±6 | 38% ±30 | 38% ±30 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | 2.71% | 1.30% | 85 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.