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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-05 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3,926.42 (+8.1%) | 9.0 | 0.2% | 60m | 22.4d ago · 44× | 2% ±11 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±10 | 19% ±44 | 59% | 6.7d | — | — | 46 → 1 |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 3,835.1–3,842.31 (+5.6%) | 6.2 | 1.5% | 11h | 4.3d ago · 97× | 36% ±36 | 46% ±25 | 9% ±15 | 45% ±25 | 15 | 3% ±5 | 35% ±33 | 61% ±55 | 81% | 1.7d | 1.93% | 1.90% | 45 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 3,781.87 (+4.1%) | 4.6 | 3.1% | 24h | 4.1d ago · 104× | 25% ±60 | 54% ±31 | 15% ±22 | 31% ±29 | 10 | 5% ±10 | 24% ±48 | 30% | 30% | > 7d | 2.23% | 1.42% | 18 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 3,760.99 (+3.5%) | 3.9 | 3.5% | 1.2d | 4.1d ago · 67× | 30% ±52 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 8% ±12 | 28% ±44 | 43% | 43% | > 7d | — | — | 22 → 1 |
| 14D POC | 3,644.22 (+0.3%) | 0.3 | 3.2% | 20h | 4.1d ago · 79× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 5 → 1 |
| at post · 3,633 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 3,588.43 (-1.2%) | 1.4 | 2.3% | 14h | 3.9d ago · 59× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 7 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 3,526.95 (-2.9%) | 3.3 | 1.2% | 10h | 3.9d ago · 85× | 22% ±29 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 6% ±6 | 22% ±29 | 30% ±52 | 53% | 6.2d | — | — | 50 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,178.37–3,322.23 (-8.6%) | 9.6 | 0.3% | 1h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 3% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±8 | 9% ±23 | 18% ±43 | > 7d | — | — | 106 → 3 |
| 30D VAL | 3,077.67 (-15.3%) | 17 | 0.4% | 3h | 2.3d ago · 31× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | — | — | 89 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 2,948.2–3,020.13 (-16.9%) | 19 | 1.3% | 6h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 1% ±5 | 38% ±30 | 38% ±30 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | 2.71% | 1.30% | 96 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.