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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-05 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3,940.81 (+8.7%) | 8.8 | <0.1% | 17m | 22.4d ago · 44× | 5% ±15 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 2% ±4 | 4% ±14 | 21% ±46 | 64% | 4.7d | — | — | 47 → 1 |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 3,835.1–3,836.04 (+5.7%) | 5.8 | 1.7% | 12h | 4.3d ago · 97× | 42% ±37 | 46% ±25 | 9% ±15 | 45% ±25 | 15 | 5% ±6 | 40% ±34 | 65% ±54 | 79% | 1.4d | 1.93% | 1.90% | 49 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC | 3,761.38–3,765.23 (+3.7%) | 3.8 | 3.8% | 1.3d | 4.2d ago · 104× | 37% ±55 | 54% ±31 | 15% ±22 | 31% ±29 | 10 | 9% ±12 | 33% ±46 | 45% | 45% | > 7d | 2.23% | 1.42% | 21 → 1 | |
| 14D POC | 3,644.22 (+0.5%) | 0.5 | 3.6% | 23h | 4.2d ago · 79× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 7 → 1 |
| at post · 3,626.88 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 3,588.43 (-1.1%) | 1.1 | 2.5% | 15h | 3.9d ago · 59× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 7 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 3,526.59 (-2.8%) | 2.8 | 1.3% | 11h | 3.9d ago · 85× | 24% ±32 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 9% ±9 | 24% ±32 | 34% ±66 | 53% | 6.8d | — | — | 41 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,180.03–3,323.57 (-8.4%) | 8.5 | 0.3% | 2h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 4% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±9 | 11% ±25 | 21% ±57 | > 7d | — | — | 103 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 3,093.9 (-14.7%) | 15 | 0.3% | 1h | 2.3d ago · 31× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | — | — | 86 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 2,950.36–3,022.13 (-16.7%) | 17 | 1.4% | 7h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 1% ±5 | 38% ±30 | 38% ±30 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±13 | > 7d | 2.71% | 1.30% | 103 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | short | 3,626.88 | 3,588.43 | 3,835.1 | target | +1.21% |