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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-05 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3,940.81 (+10.2%) | 9.9 | <0.1% | 18m | 22.4d ago · 44× | 2% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±9 | 14% ±39 | 55% | 6.9d | — | — | 51 → 1 |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 3,835.1–3,836.04 (+7.2%) | 7.1 | 1.7% | 12h | 4.3d ago · 97× | 33% ±35 | 46% ±25 | 9% ±15 | 45% ±25 | 15 | 4% ±5 | 31% ±32 | 56% ±56 | 78% | 2.5d | 1.93% | 1.90% | 45 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 3,786.21 (+5.9%) | 5.7 | 3.3% | 1.1d | 4.1d ago · 104× | 24% ±48 | 54% ±31 | 15% ±22 | 31% ±29 | 10 | 5% ±10 | 21% ±46 | 21% | 21% | > 7d | 2.23% | 1.42% | 19 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 3,644.22–3,646.54 (+1.9%) | 1.9 | 3.8% | 24h | 4.1d ago · 79× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | 17% ±23 | 25% ±60 | 52% | 52% | 1.7d | — | — | 10 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 3,582.56 (+0.2%) | 0.2 | 2.7% | 17h | 23.9d ago · 46× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 3 → 1 |
| at post · 3,576.16 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 3,531.84 (-1.2%) | 1.2 | 1.5% | 12h | 3.9d ago · 85× | 43% ±56 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 38% ±22 | 43% ±56 | 43% | 59% | 6.7d | — | — | 19 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,180.03–3,323.57 (-7.1%) | 6.9 | 0.3% | 2h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 8% ±14 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 8% ±14 | 19% ±34 | 27% ±61 | > 7d | — | — | 89 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 3,136.96 (-12.3%) | 12 | 0.5% | 4h | 2.3d ago · 31× | 1% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±11 | 1% ±16 | > 7d | — | — | 72 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 2,950.36–3,022.13 (-15.5%) | 15 | 1.4% | 7h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 1% ±5 | 38% ±30 | 38% ±30 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±11 | > 7d | 2.71% | 1.30% | 106 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.