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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-06 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3,940.81 (+10.3%) | 9.7 | <0.1% | 19m | 22.4d ago · 44× | 2% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±9 | 13% ±38 | 52% | 6.9d | — | — | 54 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 3,817.48 (+6.9%) | 6.5 | 2.4% | 18h | 4.3d ago · 70× | 32% ±35 | 40% ±28 | 7% ±14 | 53% ±28 | 12 | 4% ±6 | 30% ±32 | 66% ±54 | 66% | 1.7d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 48 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 3,731.14 (+4.4%) | 4.2 | 3.6% | 1.3d | 4.4d ago · 97× | 52% ±31 | 50% ±25 | 11% ±16 | 39% ±25 | 15 | 6% ±6 | 51% ±30 | 70% ±45 | 89% ±43 | 23h | 1.89% | 1.39% | 63 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D POC | 3,644.22–3,649.85 (+2.0%) | 1.9 | 4.0% | 1.0d | 4.2d ago · 104× | 48% ±57 | 54% ±31 | 15% ±22 | 31% ±29 | 10 | 14% ±15 | 44% ±56 | 61% | 61% | 12h | 2.23% | 1.42% | 20 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,572.41 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 3,559.07 (-0.4%) | 0.4 | 2.6% | 22h | 3.9d ago · 59× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 4 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 3,437.43 (-3.8%) | 3.6 | 1.2% | 9h | 3.9d ago · 85× | 21% ±26 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 5% ±6 | 23% ±26 | 36% ±54 | 58% | 5.5d | — | — | 57 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,180.03–3,323.57 (-7.0%) | 6.6 | 0.4% | 2h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 9% ±14 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 9% ±14 | 19% ±34 | 25% ±60 | > 7d | — | — | 94 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 3,165.67 (-11.4%) | 11 | 0.5% | 4h | 2.3d ago · 31× | 2% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±12 | 1% ±16 | > 7d | — | — | 68 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 2,950.36–3,022.13 (-15.4%) | 15 | 1.5% | 7h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 1% ±5 | 38% ±30 | 38% ±30 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±11 | > 7d | 2.71% | 1.30% | 108 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.