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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-06 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3,940.81 (+8.8%) | 8.2 | <0.1% | 20m | 22.4d ago · 44× | 8% ±19 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 2% ±4 | 8% ±17 | 27% ±50 | 63% | 4.7d | — | — | 54 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 3,817.48 (+5.4%) | 5.0 | 2.5% | 18h | 4.3d ago · 70× | 38% ±32 | 40% ±28 | 7% ±14 | 53% ±28 | 12 | 3% ±4 | 36% ±30 | 70% ±52 | 70% | 1.6d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 60 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 3,725.9 (+2.9%) | 2.7 | 3.7% | 1.3d | 4.4d ago · 97× | 61% ±29 | 50% ±25 | 11% ±16 | 39% ±25 | 15 | 12% ±8 | 61% ±29 | 77% ±41 | 94% ±32 | 17h | 1.89% | 1.39% | 64 → 2 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 3,634.11–3,646.54 (+0.4%) | 0.3 | 4.2% | 1.1d | 4.2d ago · 104× | 92% ±26 | 54% ±31 | 15% ±22 | 31% ±29 | 10 | 78% ±17 | 92% ±26 | 95% | 95% | 1h | 2.23% | 1.42% | 23 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,620.79 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 3,559.07 (-1.7%) | 1.6 | 2.7% | 22h | 3.9d ago · 59× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | 50% ±31 | 92% ±38 | 92% | 92% | 6h | — | — | 10 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 3,447.92 (-4.8%) | 4.4 | 1.2% | 10h | 3.9d ago · 85× | 15% ±21 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 4% ±4 | 16% ±21 | 29% ±45 | 51% ±69 | 6.8d | — | — | 73 → 2 |
| LVN zone | 3,180.03–3,323.57 (-8.2%) | 7.6 | 0.4% | 2h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 4% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±10 | 14% ±31 | 24% ±59 | > 7d | — | — | 97 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 3,180.03 (-12.2%) | 11 | 0.3% | 1h | 2.3d ago · 31× | 1% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±11 | 1% ±16 | > 7d | — | — | 72 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 2,950.36–3,022.13 (-16.5%) | 15 | 1.5% | 7h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 1% ±5 | 38% ±30 | 38% ±30 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±11 | > 7d | 2.71% | 1.30% | 110 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 3,620.79 | 3,447.92 | 3,725.9 | stop | -2.75% |