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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-06 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3,940.81 (+10.0%) | 9.7 | <0.1% | 18m | 22.4d ago · 44× | 2% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±9 | 13% ±38 | 51% | 6.9d | — | — | 56 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 3,817.48 (+6.5%) | 6.4 | 2.3% | 17h | 4.3d ago · 70× | 30% ±32 | 40% ±28 | 7% ±14 | 53% ±28 | 12 | 4% ±5 | 28% ±29 | 65% ±54 | 65% | 1.7d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 51 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 3,720.65 (+3.8%) | 3.7 | 3.5% | 1.2d | 4.3d ago · 97× | 53% ±31 | 50% ±25 | 11% ±16 | 39% ±25 | 15 | 6% ±6 | 52% ±30 | 71% ±45 | 89% ±43 | 22h | 1.89% | 1.39% | 64 → 2 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 3,634.11–3,646.54 (+1.4%) | 1.4 | 4.1% | 1.1d | 4.1d ago · 104× | 72% ±44 | 54% ±31 | 15% ±22 | 31% ±29 | 10 | 35% ±18 | 70% ±40 | 74% ±61 | 74% | 8h | 2.23% | 1.42% | 27 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,582.91 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 3,559.07 (-0.7%) | 0.6 | 2.6% | 21h | 3.9d ago · 59× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 7 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 3,458.41 (-3.5%) | 3.4 | 1.2% | 9h | 3.9d ago · 85× | 21% ±28 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 5% ±6 | 23% ±26 | 36% ±54 | 56% | 5.8d | — | — | 57 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,180.03–3,323.57 (-7.2%) | 7.0 | 0.3% | 2h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 8% ±14 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 8% ±13 | 18% ±34 | 26% ±61 | > 7d | — | — | 94 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 3,208.74 (-10.4%) | 10 | 0.2% | 25m | 2.3d ago · 31× | 2% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±12 | 1% ±16 | > 7d | — | — | 69 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 2,950.36–3,022.13 (-15.7%) | 15 | 1.4% | 7h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 1% ±4 | 38% ±30 | 38% ±30 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±11 | > 7d | 2.71% | 1.30% | 111 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.