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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-06 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3,926.56 (+7.8%) | 8.0 | 0.2% | 1h | 22.4d ago · 44× | 8% ±19 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 2% ±4 | 8% ±17 | 28% ±51 | 65% | 4.0d | — | — | 54 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 3,823.35 (+4.9%) | 5.1 | 2.0% | 15h | 4.3d ago · 70× | 35% ±31 | 40% ±28 | 7% ±14 | 53% ±28 | 12 | 3% ±4 | 33% ±29 | 69% ±53 | 69% | 1.7d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 61 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 3,720.65 (+2.1%) | 2.2 | 3.3% | 1.1d | 4.4d ago · 97× | 58% ±32 | 50% ±25 | 11% ±16 | 39% ±25 | 15 | 19% ±11 | 58% ±32 | 77% ±48 | 92% | 17h | 1.89% | 1.39% | 52 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 3,644.22–3,648.59 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 4.0% | 1.1d | 4.2d ago · 79× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | 92% ±17 | 92% ±38 | 92% | 92% | 1h | — | — | 10 → 1 |
| at post · 3,643.35 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 3,634.11 (-0.3%) | 0.3 | 4.1% | 1.0d | 4.0d ago · 106× | 84% ±32 | 67% ±27 | 7% ±14 | 27% ±25 | 12 | 68% ±17 | 84% ±32 | 90% ±41 | 94% | 2h | 3.58% | 1.08% | 29 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,559.07 (-2.3%) | 2.4 | 2.4% | 20h | 3.9d ago · 59× | 80% ±55 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 19% ±20 | 80% ±56 | 80% | 80% | 11h | — | — | 14 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 3,474.14 (-4.6%) | 4.8 | 1.3% | 9h | 3.9d ago · 85× | 13% ±18 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 4% ±4 | 15% ±19 | 26% ±39 | 48% ±69 | > 7d | — | — | 82 → 2 |
| LVN zone | 3,185.32–3,327.86 (-8.7%) | 9.0 | 0.4% | 2h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 4% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±8 | 10% ±24 | 19% ±44 | > 7d | — | — | 113 → 3 |
| 30D VAL | 3,256.59 (-10.6%) | 11 | 0.3% | 44m | 2.3d ago · 31× | 1% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±11 | 1% ±16 | > 7d | — | — | 71 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 2,942.99–3,014.26 (-17.3%) | 18 | 1.6% | 9h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 1% ±5 | 38% ±30 | 38% ±30 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±11 | > 7d | 2.71% | 1.30% | 106 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | short | 3,643.35 | 3,559.07 | 3,823.35 | stop | -4.66% |
| 30d | POC | short | 3,643.35 | 3,256.59 | 3,926.56 | expired | -4.66% |