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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-06 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3,926.62 (+6.9%) | 7.5 | 0.2% | 1h | 22.4d ago · 44× | 8% ±17 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 2% ±3 | 7% ±16 | 26% ±50 | 69% | 4.4d | — | — | 57 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 3,823.35 (+4.1%) | 4.4 | 2.0% | 14h | 4.3d ago · 70× | 38% ±30 | 40% ±28 | 7% ±14 | 53% ±28 | 12 | 8% ±7 | 37% ±29 | 74% ±43 | 74% ±61 | 1.5d | 1.98% | 2.53% | 63 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 3,699.67 (+0.7%) | 0.8 | 2.7% | 18h | 4.4d ago · 97× | 84% ±26 | 50% ±25 | 11% ±16 | 39% ±25 | 15 | 67% ±13 | 84% ±26 | 94% ±27 | 96% | 2h | 1.89% | 1.39% | 47 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,672.75 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D POC | 3,634.11–3,644.22 (-0.8%) | 0.8 | 3.9% | 1.0d | 4.0d ago · 106× | 76% ±32 | 67% ±27 | 7% ±14 | 27% ±25 | 12 | 57% ±15 | 76% ±32 | 84% ±51 | 86% | 3h | 3.58% | 1.08% | 42 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,564.94 (-2.9%) | 3.2 | 2.6% | 20h | 3.9d ago · 59× | 72% ±51 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 21% ±19 | 72% ±51 | 78% | 78% | 15h | — | — | 17 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 3,468.9 (-5.6%) | 6.0 | 1.1% | 8h | 3.9d ago · 85× | 8% ±13 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 2% ±3 | 9% ±14 | 20% ±35 | 41% ±68 | > 7d | — | — | 98 → 2 |
| LVN zone | 3,174.67–3,330.74 (-9.3%) | 10 | 0.3% | 2h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 3% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±7 | 8% ±22 | 17% ±42 | > 7d | — | — | 116 → 3 |
| 30D VAL | 3,302.36 (-10.1%) | 11 | 0.1% | 20m | 2.3d ago · 31× | 1% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±11 | 1% ±16 | > 7d | — | — | 73 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 2,947.67–3,018.61 (-17.8%) | 19 | 1.4% | 7h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 1% ±5 | 38% ±30 | 38% ±30 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±13 | > 7d | 2.71% | 1.30% | 103 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.