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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-07 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.16 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3,899.28 (+1.3%) | 1.6 | 0.3% | 2h | 22.5d ago · 44× | 62% ±55 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 38% ±22 | 62% ±55 | 67% | 81% | 5h | — | — | 19 → 1 |
| at post · 3,848.47 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 3,840.97 (-0.2%) | 0.2 | 1.4% | 10h | 14.9d ago · 55× | 86% ±28 | 63% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 31% ±25 | 13 | 74% ±15 | 86% ±28 | 86% ±48 | 86% | 1h | 2.95% | 1.75% | 33 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 3,539.32–3,830.05 (-0.5%) | 0.6 | 1.8% | 13h | 1.4d ago · 85× | 86% ±28 | 38% ±30 | 38% ±30 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 78% ±14 | 86% ±28 | 86% ±48 | 89% | 1h | 2.71% | 1.30% | 34 → 1 | |
| 14D POC | 3,767.56 (-2.1%) | 2.6 | 3.3% | 1.1d | 4.1d ago · 85× | 52% ±49 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 21% ±16 | 51% ±49 | 70% | 81% | 18h | — | — | 26 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 3,720.91 (-3.3%) | 4.1 | 3.0% | 1.0d | 4.4d ago · 65× | 19% ±27 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 6% ±6 | 19% ±27 | 37% ±54 | 38% | > 7d | — | — | 50 → 1 |
| 30D POC · 7D POC | 3,634.03–3,643.15 (-5.3%) | 6.6 | 3.7% | 23h | 4.1d ago · 106× | 12% ±21 | 67% ±27 | 7% ±14 | 27% ±25 | 12 | 3% ±5 | 12% ±21 | 23% ±47 | 23% | > 7d | 3.58% | 1.08% | 52 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,588.43 (-6.8%) | 8.3 | 2.9% | 21h | 4.0d ago · 59× | 7% ±14 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±3 | 7% ±14 | 20% ±39 | 30% ±63 | > 7d | — | — | 70 → 2 |
| 7D VAL | 3,487.56 (-9.4%) | 12 | 1.3% | 12h | 4.0d ago · 85× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 5% ±17 | 13% ±38 | > 7d | — | — | 108 → 3 |
| 30D VAL | 3,345.5 (-13.1%) | 16 | 0.5% | 3h | 2.4d ago · 31× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | — | — | 100 → 2 |
| LVN zone | 3,179.36–3,317.81 (-13.8%) | 17 | 0.3% | 1h | 2.4d ago · 47× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±11 | 7% ±35 | > 7d | — | — | 79 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | long | 3,848.47 | 4,101.01 | 3,767.56 | expired | +1.10% |