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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-07 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3,886.15 (+1.9%) | 2.3 | 0.5% | 5h | 22.4d ago · 44× | 46% ±49 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 22% ±16 | 46% ±49 | 53% | 81% | 2.0d | — | — | 25 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 3,846.84 (+0.9%) | 1.0 | 1.4% | 9h | 4.3d ago · 70× | 84% ±26 | 40% ±28 | 7% ±14 | 53% ±28 | 12 | 65% ±14 | 84% ±26 | 92% ±31 | 94% | 2h | 1.98% | 2.53% | 47 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,813.18 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC | 3,785.18 (-0.7%) | 0.9 | 3.0% | 23h | 3.9d ago · 85× | 83% ±33 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 69% ±17 | 81% ±34 | 89% ±43 | 93% | 2h | — | — | 30 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 3,721.45 (-2.4%) | 2.9 | 3.1% | 1.1d | 4.3d ago · 65× | 37% ±39 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 14% ±12 | 37% ±39 | 54% ±69 | 54% | 2.0d | — | — | 34 → 1 |
| 30D POC · 7D POC | 3,632.02–3,647 (-4.4%) | 5.2 | 3.7% | 1.0d | 3.9d ago · 106× | 26% ±31 | 67% ±27 | 7% ±14 | 27% ±25 | 12 | 4% ±5 | 27% ±31 | 44% ±56 | 44% | 1.5d | 3.58% | 1.08% | 50 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,588.43 (-5.9%) | 7.0 | 3.0% | 21h | 3.9d ago · 59× | 13% ±20 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 3% ±4 | 12% ±19 | 26% ±43 | 37% ±67 | > 7d | — | — | 64 → 2 |
| 7D VAL | 3,491.49 (-8.4%) | 10 | 1.3% | 13h | 3.9d ago · 85× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 5% ±18 | 16% ±41 | > 7d | — | — | 112 → 3 |
| 30D VAL | 3,353.19 (-12.1%) | 14 | 0.5% | 3h | 2.3d ago · 31× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | — | — | 94 → 2 |
| LVN zone | 3,175.54–3,325.86 (-12.8%) | 15 | 0.3% | 2h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 6% ±34 | > 7d | — | — | 92 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 2,956.89–3,011.55 (-21.0%) | 25 | 1.6% | 10h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 1% ±7 | 38% ±30 | 38% ±30 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±11 | 1% ±16 | > 7d | 2.71% | 1.30% | 76 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.