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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-07 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3,886.72 (+0.4%) | 0.4 | 0.5% | 5h | 22.4d ago · 44× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 7 → 1 |
| at post · 3,872.39 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 3,870.33 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 1.2% | 12h | 14.8d ago · 55× | 83% ±33 | 63% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 31% ±25 | 13 | 77% ±15 | 84% ±32 | 84% ±51 | 84% | 1h | 2.95% | 1.75% | 29 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 3,548.64–3,832.62 (-1.0%) | 1.2 | 2.2% | 15h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 71% ±36 | 38% ±30 | 38% ±30 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 58% ±17 | 72% ±36 | 78% ±58 | 86% | 3h | 2.71% | 1.30% | 34 → 1 | |
| 14D POC | 3,785.18 (-2.3%) | 2.6 | 3.2% | 1.0d | 4.0d ago · 85× | 52% ±49 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 21% ±15 | 49% ±44 | 69% ±64 | 81% | 1.2d | — | — | 27 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 3,717.48 (-4.0%) | 4.6 | 3.2% | 1.1d | 4.3d ago · 65× | 13% ±22 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 4% ±5 | 13% ±22 | 29% ±51 | 31% | > 7d | — | — | 55 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 3,650.06 (-5.7%) | 6.7 | 3.8% | 1.0d | 4.0d ago · 72× | 17% ±52 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 7% ±15 | 15% ±49 | 15% | 15% | > 7d | — | — | 12 → 1 |
| 7D POC | 3,630.44 (-6.2%) | 7.2 | 3.8% | 23h | 4.0d ago · 106× | 9% ±19 | 69% ±25 | 6% ±13 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 2% ±3 | 9% ±19 | 20% ±45 | 20% | > 7d | 3.73% | 0.94% | 55 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,606.05 (-6.9%) | 8.0 | 3.0% | 18h | 3.9d ago · 59× | 7% ±16 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±3 | 7% ±15 | 21% ±40 | 31% ±64 | > 7d | — | — | 68 → 2 |
| 7D VAL | 3,490.66 (-9.9%) | 11 | 1.4% | 14h | 3.9d ago · 85× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 5% ±17 | 13% ±38 | > 7d | — | — | 111 → 3 |
| 30D VAL | 3,359.31 (-13.2%) | 15 | 0.7% | 3h | 2.3d ago · 31× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | — | — | 101 → 2 |
| LVN zone | 3,183.51–3,318.74 (-14.3%) | 17 | 0.3% | 1h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 7% ±34 | > 7d | — | — | 87 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | long | 3,872.39 | 4,136.67 | 3,785.18 | expired | +4.76% |