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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-08 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.16 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 3,919.33 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 3,876.52–3,886.71 (-0.8%) | 0.8 | 0.9% | 9h | 8.3d ago · 55× | 82% ±28 | 63% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 31% ±25 | 13 | 62% ±14 | 83% ±26 | 85% ±40 | 85% | 3h | 2.95% | 1.75% | 45 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 3,544.65–3,845.67 (-1.9%) | 1.9 | 1.9% | 13h | 1.4d ago · 85× | 62% ±55 | 38% ±30 | 38% ±30 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 26% ±19 | 60% ±48 | 70% | 86% | 18h | 2.71% | 1.30% | 21 → 1 | |
| 14D POC | 3,781.14 (-3.5%) | 3.5 | 3.8% | 1.2d | 4.1d ago · 85× | 36% ±38 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 10% ±10 | 34% ±38 | 46% ±69 | 54% | 5.8d | — | — | 38 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 3,698.08 (-5.6%) | 5.6 | 3.3% | 23h | 4.4d ago · 65× | 11% ±20 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 3% ±5 | 10% ±19 | 27% ±50 | 31% | > 7d | — | — | 57 → 1 |
| 30D POC · 7D POC | 3,645.78–3,647.27 (-6.9%) | 6.9 | 4.5% | 1.2d | 4.1d ago · 106× | 12% ±21 | 69% ±25 | 6% ±13 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 3% ±4 | 11% ±20 | 21% ±46 | 21% | > 7d | 3.73% | 0.94% | 56 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,605.78 (-8.0%) | 7.9 | 3.5% | 21h | 4.0d ago · 59× | 8% ±16 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±3 | 7% ±16 | 21% ±40 | 32% ±65 | > 7d | — | — | 68 → 2 |
| 7D VAL | 3,458.11 (-11.8%) | 12 | 1.2% | 9h | 4.0d ago · 85× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 5% ±17 | 13% ±38 | > 7d | — | — | 112 → 3 |
| 30D VAL | 3,353.09 (-14.4%) | 14 | 0.7% | 4h | 2.4d ago · 31× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | — | — | 97 → 2 |
| LVN zone | 3,175.21–3,325.72 (-15.1%) | 15 | 0.4% | 2h | 2.4d ago · 47× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 6% ±33 | > 7d | — | — | 96 → 2 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.