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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-08 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 3,897.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 3,876.52–3,886.83 (-0.3%) | 0.3 | 1.0% | 10h | 8.3d ago · 55× | 84% ±29 | 63% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 31% ±25 | 13 | 71% ±14 | 86% ±26 | 88% ±45 | 88% | 1h | 2.95% | 1.75% | 40 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 3,545.27–3,845.85 (-1.3%) | 1.3 | 1.9% | 13h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 69% ±41 | 38% ±30 | 38% ±30 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 50% ±17 | 66% ±38 | 73% ±62 | 83% | 4h | 2.71% | 1.30% | 34 → 1 | |
| 14D POC | 3,781.14 (-3.0%) | 2.9 | 4.0% | 1.3d | 4.0d ago · 85× | 52% ±44 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 18% ±13 | 46% ±44 | 62% ±67 | 74% | 1.2d | — | — | 32 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 3,698.08 (-5.1%) | 4.9 | 3.4% | 24h | 4.3d ago · 65× | 13% ±22 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 3% ±5 | 12% ±20 | 28% ±51 | 32% | > 7d | — | — | 59 → 1 |
| 30D POC · 7D POC | 3,633.47–3,647.74 (-6.4%) | 6.1 | 4.6% | 1.3d | 4.0d ago · 106× | 16% ±24 | 69% ±25 | 6% ±13 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 3% ±4 | 15% ±23 | 28% ±51 | 28% | > 7d | 3.73% | 0.94% | 56 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,599.63 (-7.6%) | 7.3 | 3.6% | 22h | 3.9d ago · 59× | 11% ±18 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 3% ±4 | 10% ±17 | 24% ±42 | 35% ±66 | > 7d | — | — | 69 → 2 |
| 7D VAL | 3,445.81 (-11.6%) | 11 | 1.3% | 11h | 3.9d ago · 85× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 5% ±17 | 13% ±38 | > 7d | — | — | 111 → 3 |
| 30D VAL | 3,367.65 (-13.6%) | 13 | 1.1% | 5h | 2.3d ago · 31× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | — | — | 88 → 2 |
| LVN zone | 3,176.37–3,313 (-15.0%) | 14 | 0.3% | 1h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | 6% ±33 | > 7d | — | — | 101 → 2 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.