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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-08 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 3,890.86 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 3,876.52–3,888.36 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 1.0% | 10h | 8.3d ago · 55× | 84% ±29 | 63% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 31% ±25 | 13 | 74% ±14 | 86% ±26 | 88% ±45 | 88% | 1h | 2.95% | 1.75% | 40 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 3,553.16–3,834.73 (-1.4%) | 1.5 | 2.3% | 16h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 69% ±41 | 38% ±30 | 38% ±30 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 41% ±17 | 66% ±42 | 74% ±61 | 85% | 7h | 2.71% | 1.30% | 32 → 1 | |
| 14D POC | 3,781.14 (-2.8%) | 3.0 | 3.6% | 1.1d | 4.0d ago · 85× | 42% ±43 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 13% ±11 | 39% ±39 | 52% ±69 | 63% | 1.8d | — | — | 36 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 3,710.38 (-4.6%) | 4.9 | 3.4% | 1.1d | 4.3d ago · 65× | 13% ±22 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 3% ±4 | 12% ±20 | 28% ±51 | 32% | > 7d | — | — | 60 → 1 |
| 7D POC | 3,645.78 (-6.3%) | 6.7 | 4.2% | 1.2d | 4.0d ago · 106× | 11% ±20 | 69% ±25 | 6% ±13 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 2% ±3 | 10% ±19 | 27% ±50 | 27% | > 7d | 3.73% | 0.94% | 59 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 3,626.9 (-6.8%) | 7.2 | 4.2% | 1.1d | 4.0d ago · 72× | 14% ±48 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 5% ±10 | 10% ±34 | 10% | 10% | > 7d | — | — | 18 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 3,593.48 (-7.6%) | 8.1 | 3.3% | 22h | 3.9d ago · 59× | 7% ±15 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±3 | 7% ±14 | 21% ±40 | 31% ±64 | > 7d | — | — | 72 → 2 |
| 7D VAL | 3,445.81 (-11.4%) | 12 | 1.2% | 10h | 3.9d ago · 85× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 4% ±15 | 12% ±36 | > 7d | — | — | 109 → 3 |
| 30D VAL | 3,365.45 (-13.5%) | 14 | 0.9% | 4h | 2.3d ago · 31× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | — | — | 98 → 2 |
| LVN zone | 3,258.18–3,325.22 (-14.5%) | 15 | 0.3% | 2h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 6% ±34 | > 7d | — | — | 96 → 2 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.