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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-08 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 4,056.82 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 3,883.04–3,890.88 (-4.1%) | 4.0 | 1.2% | 12h | 8.2d ago · 55× | 11% ±25 | 65% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 6% ±8 | 12% ±26 | 34% ±66 | 50% | 6.4d | 3.05% | 1.70% | 34 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 3,549.18–3,829.62 (-5.6%) | 5.5 | 2.9% | 20h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 25% ±42 | 43% ±29 | 36% ±28 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 8% ±11 | 25% ±42 | 29% | 29% | > 7d | 2.76% | 1.38% | 23 → 1 | |
| 14D POC | 3,779.82 (-6.8%) | 6.7 | 4.1% | 1.3d | 4.0d ago · 85× | 10% ±19 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 2% ±3 | 10% ±19 | 10% ±34 | 12% | > 7d | — | — | 59 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 3,726.08 (-8.2%) | 8.0 | 4.1% | 1.4d | 4.3d ago · 65× | 3% ±13 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±5 | 2% ±11 | 19% ±54 | 24% | > 7d | — | — | 42 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 3,649.34 (-10.0%) | 9.9 | 4.7% | 1.3d | 4.0d ago · 72× | 5% ±24 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 4% ±7 | 4% ±18 | 4% | 4% | > 7d | — | — | 26 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 3,582.79 (-11.7%) | 12 | 3.7% | 1.1d | 3.9d ago · 59× | 2% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±6 | 7% ±19 | 21% ±46 | > 7d | — | — | 129 → 3 |
| 7D POC | 3,493.23 (-13.9%) | 14 | 1.6% | 16h | 4.0d ago · 106× | 2% ±10 | 69% ±25 | 6% ±13 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±10 | 2% ±16 | 2% | > 7d | 3.73% | 0.94% | 49 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAL | 3,362.22–3,382.17 (-16.6%) | 16 | 1.3% | 6h | 2.3d ago · 85× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | 3% ±19 | > 7d | — | — | 107 → 3 |
| LVN zone | 3,255.38–3,322.15 (-18.1%) | 18 | 0.4% | 2h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±11 | 8% ±37 | > 7d | — | — | 80 → 2 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.