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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-09 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 4,016.08 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 3,885.77–3,890.88 (-3.1%) | 3.3 | 1.0% | 11h | 8.2d ago · 55× | 23% ±41 | 65% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 12% ±12 | 23% ±37 | 42% ±68 | 54% | 4.0d | 3.05% | 1.70% | 27 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 3,556.79–3,833.13 (-4.6%) | 4.9 | 2.4% | 17h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 32% ±53 | 43% ±29 | 36% ±28 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 10% ±13 | 31% ±52 | 36% | 36% | > 7d | 2.76% | 1.38% | 19 → 1 | |
| 14D POC | 3,779.82 (-5.9%) | 6.3 | 3.8% | 1.2d | 3.9d ago · 85× | 11% ±20 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 2% ±3 | 11% ±20 | 12% ±37 | 14% | > 7d | — | — | 56 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 3,733.25 (-7.0%) | 7.5 | 3.6% | 1.3d | 4.3d ago · 65× | 3% ±12 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±11 | 18% ±53 | 23% | > 7d | — | — | 44 → 1 |
| 7D POC | 3,658.02 (-8.9%) | 9.5 | 4.1% | 1.1d | 3.9d ago · 106× | 5% ±13 | 69% ±25 | 6% ±13 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 1% ±3 | 5% ±12 | 8% ±27 | 8% ±38 | > 7d | 3.73% | 0.94% | 66 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 3,629.17 (-9.6%) | 10 | 4.4% | 1.1d | 3.9d ago · 72× | 5% ±24 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 4% ±7 | 4% ±18 | 4% | 4% | > 7d | — | — | 26 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 3,575.62 (-11.0%) | 12 | 3.1% | 1.0d | 3.9d ago · 59× | 2% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±6 | 7% ±19 | 21% ±46 | > 7d | — | — | 132 → 3 |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAL | 3,367.84–3,372.56 (-16.0%) | 17 | 1.1% | 5h | 2.3d ago · 85× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | 2% ±14 | > 7d | — | — | 111 → 3 |
| LVN zone | 3,175.17–3,319.93 (-17.3%) | 19 | 0.3% | 1h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±11 | 8% ±37 | > 7d | — | — | 79 → 2 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.