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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-09 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 4,079.43 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 3,966.92–4,034.16 (-1.1%) | 1.3 | 0.4% | 4h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 52% ±44 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 33% ±17 | 52% ±44 | 52% ±69 | 67% | 12h | — | — | 31 → 1 |
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 3,886.24–3,899.46 (-4.4%) | 5.0 | 1.0% | 10h | 8.2d ago · 55× | 5% ±18 | 65% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 3% ±6 | 5% ±16 | 23% ±58 | 35% | > 7d | 3.05% | 1.70% | 40 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 3,550.08–3,832.46 (-6.1%) | 6.9 | 2.4% | 16h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 9% ±22 | 43% ±29 | 36% ±28 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 3% ±5 | 8% ±22 | 8% ±38 | 8% | > 7d | 2.76% | 1.38% | 35 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D POC | 3,783.54–3,794.76 (-7.0%) | 7.9 | 3.1% | 22h | 4.0d ago · 85× | 5% ±13 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 2% ±3 | 5% ±12 | 11% ±31 | 13% ±47 | > 7d | — | — | 75 → 2 |
| 7D POC | 3,656.4 (-10.4%) | 12 | 3.9% | 1.1d | 4.0d ago · 106× | 2% ±10 | 69% ±25 | 6% ±13 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±9 | 2% ±15 | 2% | > 7d | 3.73% | 0.94% | 54 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 3,637.48 (-10.8%) | 12 | 4.2% | 1.1d | 4.0d ago · 72× | 3% ±13 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 2% ±5 | 2% ±11 | 2% ±21 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 39 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 3,577.87 (-12.3%) | 14 | 3.1% | 23h | 3.9d ago · 59× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±5 | 3% ±11 | 13% ±33 | > 7d | — | — | 149 → 4 |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAL | 3,360.99–3,375.27 (-17.3%) | 20 | 1.1% | 5h | 2.3d ago · 85× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±11 | > 7d | — | — | 130 → 3 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.