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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-09 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 4,188.75 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 3,971.24–4,000.51 (-4.5%) | 4.6 | 0.3% | 1h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 14% ±18 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 14% ±18 | 25% ±38 | 31% ±64 | > 7d | — | — | 85 → 2 |
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 3,898.08–3,899.4 (-6.9%) | 7.0 | 1.1% | 11h | 8.3d ago · 55× | 3% ±11 | 65% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±11 | 11% ±36 | 23% | > 7d | 3.05% | 1.70% | 49 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 3,546.89–3,839.55 (-8.3%) | 8.5 | 2.2% | 15h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 2% ±9 | 43% ±29 | 36% ±28 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 2% ±14 | 2% | > 7d | 2.76% | 1.38% | 59 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 3,830.08 (-8.6%) | 8.7 | 2.8% | 19h | 4.3d ago · 65× | 3% ±13 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±5 | 2% ±11 | 12% ±45 | 18% | > 7d | — | — | 39 → 1 |
| 14D POC | 3,782.42 (-9.7%) | 9.9 | 4.0% | 1.3d | 4.0d ago · 85× | 2% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±7 | 2% ±13 | 2% ±20 | > 7d | — | — | 93 → 2 |
| 7D POC · 30D POC | 3,642–3,643.78 (-13.0%) | 13 | 4.7% | 1.3d | 4.0d ago · 106× | 2% ±10 | 69% ±25 | 6% ±13 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±9 | 2% ±16 | 2% | > 7d | 3.73% | 0.94% | 52 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,570.13 (-14.8%) | 15 | 3.3% | 1.0d | 3.9d ago · 59× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 11% ±35 | > 7d | — | — | 145 → 3 |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAL | 3,362.17–3,371.3 (-19.5%) | 20 | 1.2% | 5h | 2.3d ago · 85× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±11 | > 7d | — | — | 134 → 3 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.