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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-09 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 4,195.41 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 3,890.75–3,899.68 (-7.0%) | 6.6 | 1.2% | 12h | 8.3d ago · 55× | 4% ±14 | 65% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 2% ±4 | 4% ±13 | 13% ±38 | 25% | > 7d | 3.05% | 1.70% | 50 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 3,854.91 (-8.1%) | 7.6 | 1.9% | 17h | 4.3d ago · 65× | 2% ±11 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±10 | 18% ±43 | 23% | > 7d | — | — | 47 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 3,532.64–3,845.99 (-8.3%) | 7.8 | 2.1% | 15h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 4% ±14 | 43% ±29 | 36% ±28 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 2% ±4 | 4% ±13 | 4% ±22 | 4% | > 7d | 2.76% | 1.38% | 50 → 1 | |
| 14D POC | 3,823.57 (-8.9%) | 8.4 | 3.2% | 23h | 4.0d ago · 85× | 7% ±14 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±13 | 7% ±24 | 7% ±34 | > 7d | — | — | 77 → 2 |
| 30D POC · 7D POC | 3,644.5–3,644.55 (-13.1%) | 12 | 5.1% | 1.4d | 4.0d ago · 106× | 2% ±10 | 69% ±25 | 6% ±13 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±9 | 2% ±16 | 2% | > 7d | 3.73% | 0.94% | 55 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,559.44 (-15.2%) | 14 | 3.1% | 1.1d | 3.9d ago · 59× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±8 | 12% ±32 | > 7d | — | — | 149 → 4 |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAL | 3,362.46–3,368.5 (-19.7%) | 19 | 1.2% | 6h | 2.3d ago · 85× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±11 | > 7d | — | — | 125 → 3 |
| LVN zone | 3,249.13–3,308.82 (-21.1%) | 20 | 0.3% | 50m | 2.3d ago · 47× | 1% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±11 | 8% ±38 | > 7d | — | — | 73 → 2 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.