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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-09 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 4,206 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 4,045.07–4,161.53 (-1.1%) | 1.1 | 0.3% | 2h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 62% ±43 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 43% ±17 | 60% ±39 | 60% ±68 | 75% | 8h | — | — | 33 → 1 |
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH · 7D VAH | 3,890.73–3,908.63 (-7.1%) | 7.4 | 1.0% | 9h | 4.3d ago · 65× | 2% ±10 | 65% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±9 | 12% ±37 | 20% | > 7d | 3.05% | 1.70% | 55 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 3,535.57–3,841.27 (-8.7%) | 9.1 | 2.1% | 14h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 2% ±8 | 43% ±29 | 36% ±28 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±12 | 1% ±17 | > 7d | 2.76% | 1.38% | 65 → 2 | |
| 14D POC | 3,823.57 (-9.1%) | 9.5 | 2.9% | 21h | 4.0d ago · 85× | 2% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±7 | 2% ±13 | 2% ±20 | > 7d | — | — | 90 → 2 |
| 30D POC · 7D POC | 3,644.5–3,644.75 (-13.3%) | 14 | 4.7% | 1.3d | 4.0d ago · 106× | 2% ±10 | 69% ±25 | 6% ±13 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±9 | 2% ±16 | 2% | > 7d | 3.73% | 0.94% | 53 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,559.44 (-15.4%) | 16 | 2.7% | 23h | 3.9d ago · 59× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 11% ±36 | > 7d | — | — | 140 → 3 |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAL | 3,362.46–3,375.44 (-19.7%) | 21 | 1.2% | 6h | 2.3d ago · 85× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±11 | > 7d | — | — | 137 → 3 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.