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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-09 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 4,289.34 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 4,056.85–4,160.28 (-3.0%) | 3.2 | 0.3% | 2h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 17% ±21 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 4% ±5 | 17% ±21 | 23% ±42 | 29% ±63 | > 7d | — | — | 71 → 2 |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH · 30D VAH | 3,894.32–3,917.36 (-8.7%) | 9.3 | 0.8% | 7h | 4.3d ago · 65× | 2% ±8 | 65% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 4% ±20 | 11% ±43 | > 7d | 3.05% | 1.70% | 73 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 3,539.7–3,849.99 (-10.2%) | 11 | 1.8% | 13h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 1% ±6 | 43% ±29 | 36% ±28 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | 2.76% | 1.38% | 86 → 2 | |
| 14D POC | 3,781.1 (-11.8%) | 13 | 3.9% | 1.2d | 4.0d ago · 85× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | — | — | 99 → 2 |
| 7D POC | 3,668.33 (-14.5%) | 16 | 4.0% | 1.2d | 4.0d ago · 106× | 2% ±10 | 69% ±25 | 6% ±13 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±9 | 2% ±15 | 2% | > 7d | 3.73% | 0.94% | 51 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 3,635.75 (-15.2%) | 16 | 4.7% | 1.2d | 4.0d ago · 72× | 2% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±12 | 1% ±17 | > 7d | — | — | 65 → 2 |
| 14D VAL | 3,560.26 (-17.0%) | 18 | 2.8% | 23h | 3.9d ago · 59× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 9% ±33 | > 7d | — | — | 135 → 3 |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAL | 3,362.91–3,377.17 (-21.3%) | 23 | 1.2% | 6h | 2.3d ago · 85× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±11 | > 7d | — | — | 138 → 3 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.